CLE
Browns
27
FINAL
JAX
Jaguars
25
CLE -7.5 O/U 48.5
MIA
Dolphins
20
FINAL
NYJ
Jets
3
MIA -7.5 O/U 46
ARI
Cardinals
17
FINAL
NE
Patriots
20
ARI -1 O/U 50.5
NYG
Giants
19
FINAL
CIN
Bengals
17
NYG -6.5 O/U 45
OAK
Raiders
6
FINAL
ATL
Falcons
43
OAK -3.5 O/U 53
TEN
Titans
45
FINAL
IND
Colts
26
IND -3 O/U 51.5
LAC
Chargers
17
FINAL
BUF
Bills
27
BUF -4.5 O/U 51
CAR
Panthers
27
FINAL
MIN
Vikings
28
MIN -3 O/U 50
SF
49ers
23
FINAL
LAR
Rams
20
LAR -5 O/U 44.5
NO
Saints
31
FINAL
DEN
Broncos
3
NO -17 O/U 36.5
KC
Chiefs
27
FINAL
TB
Buccaneers
24
KC -3.5 O/U 56
CHI
Bears
Today, 1:20 AM
GB
Packers
GB -7.5 O/U 44.5
SEA
Seahawks
Tomorrow, 1:15 AM
PHI
Eagles
SEA -6 O/U 48.5
BAL
Ravens
Wed 12/2, 12:10 AM
PIT
Steelers
PIT -10 O/U 41
New England PatriotsPatriots
5-6-0
Sun 11/22, 6:00 PM - Nrg Stadium
HOU +2.5, O/U 49.5
Houston TexansTexans
4-7-0
Sun 11/22, 6:00 PM - Nrg Stadium
HOU +2.5, O/U 49.5
Patriots
5-6-0
Texans
4-7-0
Spread
Moneyline
Total
1H Spread
1H Moneyline
1H Total
Best Bets Watch Video
Star Rating
No Trend
Trend Rating
No Trend
Patriots
Texans
25Proj Full Score23.5
56.79%Proj Win %43.21%
12Proj First Half Score11.5
52.99%Proj First Half Win %47.01%
Home Field Advantage
B-Team GradeC-
COffense GradeB-
ADefense GradeD+
Sharp Bettor Report
New England Patriots
New England Patriots
% of Money
% of Tickets
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
% of Money
% of Tickets
NE Pro Money Advantage by undefined
LinesLines

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Team
Patriots
Texans
-2.5 (-120)
o49.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-132)
o47.5 (-104)
-3 (+100)
o49.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-115)
o49 (-110)
-2.5 (-120)
o49.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-120)
o49.5 (-110)

New England Patriots vsHouston Texans Prediction

Expect a close game with the New England Patriots winning 50% of simulations, and the Houston Texans 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New England Patriots commit fewer turnovers in 28% of simulations and they go on to win 77% when they take care of the ball. The Houston Texans wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Cam Newton is averaging 307 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (31% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Deshaun Watson is averaging 286 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 58%.

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans Prediction

After keeping their playoff hopes alive with a huge win last week, the New England Patriots hit the road in Week 11 to take on the Houston Texans. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST on Sunday, November 22, at NRG Stadium in Houston. The early betting line has the Patriots favored by 2.5 points on the road with the over/under set at 48 points. Keep reading to check out a preview of both teams and find out our model’s Texans vs Patriots prediction.

New England Patriots Preview

Just when people were starting to count out Bill Belichick, the Patriots come up with a huge win over the Ravens. Last week’s win was New England’s second in a row, helping to stabilize the Pats after a four-game losing streak. The caveat is that New England is still just 4-5 and two games behind the Bills in the loss column. If the Patriots want to keep their streak of division titles intact, they need to keep the wins coming.

There have been some signs of life from the New England offense in recent weeks, specifically with the running game. Damien Harris is averaging 98 yards per game on the ground in his last three games. That’s been a big help for Cam Newton, who is not exactly lighting it up through the air right now but remains a running threat himself. However, there is also a glimmer of hope for the New England passing game with the emergence of Jakobi Myers in recent weeks. The New England offense still isn’t that pretty to watch, but the Pats are slowly piecing things together.

On the other side of the ball, the New England defense is showing that it’s capable of playing well, even if the Patriots remain inconsistent. One week after getting lit up by Joe Flacco, the Patriots were able to handle Lamar Jackson and the Ravens, albeit in a downpour. The New England defense is lacking game-changers, but with the right scheme, the Patriots can hold their own and at least give their offense a fighting chance.

Houston Texans Preview

At 2-7, Houston’s season is all but over. The Texans would have to more or less win the rest of their games to have any hope of reaching the playoffs. At this point in the season, they’ve lost every game that wasn’t against the Jaguars. If it matters, four of their seven losses have come by one score, including a few close losses against teams that will probably play in the playoffs. However, 2020 is becoming a lost year for the Texans.

The ironic part of Houston’s failures this season is that Deshaun Watson is still having a standout campaign. Last week’s windy day in Cleveland aside, Watson has been outstanding this season, as he’s on pace for over 4,500 passing yards and over 30 touchdowns. However, he’s been forced to do it with a subpar offensive line that has made life difficult. The Texans are also without leading rusher David Johnson, who has been placed on IR.

Houston’s biggest problem this year has been the play of the defense. Again, they benefited from playing the Browns under blustery conditions last week. But prior to that, the Texans had conceded at least 25 points in all but one game this season. Even when they knew that the Browns were going to run the ball a majority of the time, the Houston defense gave up 231 yards on the ground and over five yards per carry. The Texans have been shredded on the ground time after time this year with little hope for fixing those issues.

Full Game Prediction

All eyes will be on the New England defense this week. The Pats haven’t exactly proven that they have the kind of pass rush that can take advantage of a porous Houston offensive line. That could make it difficult to contain Watson and the Houston passing attack. Of course, the Patriots should feel confident about their chances of doing some damage against the Houston defense.

Clearly, this game could go either way, so sign up for a BetQL subscription so you can check out our analytics and the latest betting trends. You will also have access to our model’s Patriots vs Texans prediction against the spread.

Bryan Zarpentine
Prediction Written by
Bryan Zarpentine

Bryan Zarpentine is a freelance writer and editor who specializes in sports and sports betting. Over the years, he has covered the NFL, MLB, college football, college basketball, and international and club soccer. Bryan is a graduate of Syracuse University and a lifelong fan of the Orange, as well as the New York Mets, Denver Broncos, and Tottenham Hotspur. When he’s not watching sports, there’s nothing he loves more than writing about sports, especially taking on unpopular opinions.

Team Summary
New England Patriots Summary
NE
Head Coach
Bill Belichick
Avg. Pts. Scored
20.9
1H Pts. Scored
8.2
Def. Pts. Allowed
23.8
Houston Texans Summary
HOU
Head Coach
Romeo Crennel
Avg. Pts. Scored
24.36
1H Pts. Scored
11.64
Def. Pts. Allowed
27
Schedule Summary
NE
Teams
HOU
10
No. Of Games
11
5-6-0
Record
4-7-0
4-6-0
ATS Record
4-7-0
40.0%
Cover%
36.4%
4-6-0
O/U Record
7-3-1
40.0%
Over%
70.0%
Schedule & Result
Reset Filters Lock in Filters
Reset Filters Lock in Filters
Reset Filters Lock in Filters
Total Games: 16Record: 4-7 ATS Record: 4-7O/U Record: 6-5
Games: 16Record: 4-7 ATS: 4-7O/U: 6-5
DateOpponentScoreATSO/UFri 9/11@ KCL 20-34L +9.5O 53.5Sun 9/20vs. BALL 16-33L +7U 49.5Sun 9/27@ PITL 21-28L +3.5O 46.5Sun 10/4vs. MINL 23-31L -3.5O 53Sun 10/11vs. JAXW 30-14W -6.5U 54.5Sun 10/18@ TENL 36-42L +3.5O 52Sun 10/25vs. GBL 20-35L +2.5U 55.5Thu 10/29vs. BYE------Sun 11/8@ JAXW 27-25L -6.5O 48.5Sun 11/15@ CLEL 7-10W +4.5U 46Sun 11/22vs. NEW 27-20W +2.5U 49.5Thu 11/26@ DETW 41-25W -3O 52.5Sun 12/6vs. IND-- +2.5O 54Sun 12/13@ CHI------Sun 12/20@ IND------Sun 12/27vs. CIN------Sun 1/3vs. TEN------
Line Movement
NE
HOU
Spread
Moneyline
Total
1st Half Spread
1st Half Moneyline
1st Half Total
2nd Half Spread
2nd Half Moneyline

4

3.8

3.6

3.4

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Patriots Lineup
QB
Player Image
Cam Newton
Latest News
RB
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Damien Harris
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WR
Player Image
N'Keal Harry
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WR
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Damiere Byrd
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WR
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Jakobi Meyers
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TE
Player Image
Ryan Izzo
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Texans Lineup
QB
Player Image
Deshaun Watson
Latest News
RB
Player Image
Duke Johnson
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Kenny Stills
QST
Latest News
WR
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Brandin Cooks
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WR
Player Image
Will Fuller V
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WR
Player Image
Randall Cobb
IR
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TE
Player Image
Jordan Akins
Latest News
NE Lineup
HOU Lineup
 
Patriots Lineup
QB
Player Image
Cam Newton
Latest News
RB
Player Image
Damien Harris
Latest News
WR
Player Image
N'Keal Harry
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Damiere Byrd
Latest News
WR
Player Image
Jakobi Meyers
Latest News
TE
Player Image
Ryan Izzo
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Patriots Injuries
No Injured Players
 
Texans Injuries
Player Image
Dylan StapletonHOU | TE
No details provided
QST
NE Injuries
HOU Injuries
 
Patriots Injuries
No Injured Players