Chicago Bears vsDetroit Lions Prediction
Expect a close game with the Chicago Bears winning 56% of simulations, and the Detroit Lions 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Chicago Bears commit fewer turnovers in 50% of simulations and they go on to win 75% when they take care of the ball. The Detroit Lions wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. David Montgomery is averaging 67 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 78%. Kerryon Johnson is averaging 68 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 66%.