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Las Vegas Raiders vsCleveland Browns Prediction

Expect a close game with the Las Vegas Raiders winning 48% of simulations, and the Cleveland Browns 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Las Vegas Raiders commit fewer turnovers in 42% of simulations and they go on to win 74% when they take care of the ball. The Cleveland Browns wins 73% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Derek Carr is averaging 301 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 47%. Baker Mayfield is averaging 255 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 57%.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns Prediction

The Cleveland Browns will try to remain undefeated at home when they face the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 8. Game time is set for 1:00 EST on Sunday, November 1, at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland. The Browns are listed as 2.5-point favorites at home with an over/under of 53.5 points. Keep reading to check out a preview of both teams and learn about our Browns vs Raiders prediction.

Cleveland Browns Preview

The Browns are breathing a sigh of relief after pulling off a comeback win against the Bengals last week. Baker Mayfield found Donovan Peoples-Jones with 11 seconds left to give Cleveland a 37-34 win. The late touchdown prevented the Browns from losing their second game in a row after they were humiliated by the Steelers the previous week. Of course, Cleveland’s 5-2 record is only good enough for third place in the AFC North. The good news is that the Steelers and Ravens play one another this week, so the Browns can pick up ground on one of them if they can keep winning as they open up a three-game homestand against teams with a losing record.

Mayfield turned out to be the hero in last week’s game, throwing for nearly 300 yards and five touchdowns. However, it’s still fair to be a little skeptical of him after his atrocious game against the Steelers and his five interceptions over the last three games. The Browns have also lost Odell Beckham Jr. to a season-ending injury, which will surely change the look of their offense. With Nick Chubb still out for a few more weeks, Cleveland needs a little more out of Kareem Hunt and the running game, which was one of the best in football early in the season. Hunt hasn’t scored a touchdown in three weeks, as the Cleveland offense is losing some of its balance.

It’s not as if the Browns can rely on their defense much these days. The Browns have given up at least 30 points in five of their seven games. Even a lackluster Washington offense was able to score 20 points against Cleveland earlier this season, so no lead is safe despite the Browns forcing 14 takeaways in seven games.

Las Vegas Raiders Preview

The Raiders had two weeks to bask in their upset win over Kansas City, only to fall flat against the Buccaneers last week. In fairness, Las Vegas was in the game midway through the fourth quarter but gave up three touchdowns over the final eight minutes to lose 45-20. Jon Gruden’s team has now lost three of its last four games to fall to 3-3 on the season. A wild card spot is still within their grasp as we approach the midway point of the season. But the Raiders need to get back on track and gain some confidence, especially with a manageable schedule ahead.

A lackluster rushing attack has become the common denominator for the Raiders in their recent losses. Josh Jacobs had an incredible rookie season, but he’s now averaging just 3.4 yards per carry during his sophomore campaign. That has put a little too much on the plate of quarterback David Carr. While Carr has had a solid season and avoided critical mistakes, the Las Vegas receivers hadn’t provided enough. Nelson Agholor has surprisingly emerged as the team’s best receiver behind tight end Darren Waller. But the Raiders are still in need of more consistent production from their young receivers.

Of course, every game falls on the shoulders of the Las Vegas offense with the Raiders putting up little resistance defensively. Las Vegas has given up the second-most points in the NFL this season, conceding 32.8 points per game. The Raiders have done a better job of slowing done the run recently, holding three straight opponents under 100 rushing yards. But that hasn’t mattered given how porous the Las Vegas secondary has been. They are giving up massive amounts of yards in the passing game, largely because the Raiders have just seven sacks in six games and can’t seem to put any pressure on opposing quarterbacks.

Full Game Prediction

Both teams seem poised to score a lot of points in this game, as these are two of the worst defensive teams in the NFL. Of course, Las Vegas is a little short on playmakers unless their young receivers step up while the Browns will need ancillary players to fill the void left by Beckham. The team that receives bigger contributions from their supporting players should have an advantage in a game that could go either way.

Don’t forget to sign up for a BetQL subscription so you can have access to the latest betting odds and advanced stats. You will also be able to find out our model’s official Raiders vs Browns prediction.

Brian Hunt
Prediction Written by
Brian Hunt

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