New England Patriots vsBuffalo Bills Prediction
Expect a close game with the New England Patriots winning 52% of simulations, and the Buffalo Bills 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New England Patriots commit fewer turnovers in 74% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. The Buffalo Bills wins 78% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Damien Harris is averaging 66 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Josh Allen is averaging 268 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 58%.