Baylor Headlines Week 4 College Football Home Underdog Values

These three home dogs stick out as strong value bets this week.

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  • The Gators lost 31-29 and Louisiana Tech lost 39-37 when SMU converted a Hail Mary touchdown to end the game. While the underdogs didn’t pull off victories, we were on the right path in both instances. 

  • This week, we will focus on Baylor (+220) vs. #14 Iowa State and Utah State (+285) vs. Boise State.

  • Keep reading to find out why both home underdogs are appealing.

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Baylor (+220) vs. #14 Iowa State

Baylor (3-0) has beaten Texas State (29-20), Texas Southern (66-7) and Kansas (45-7) so far, so this will be their first major test. Iowa State (2-1) has beaten Northern Iowa (16-10), lost to #5 Iowa (27-17) and beaten UNLV (48-3) so far. 

Bears quarterback Gerry Bohanon (72.9% completion rate, 664 passing yards, 5 TD, 0 INT, 3 rushing TD) has been very efficient so far while running back duo Abram Smith (7.8 yards per carry, 336 yards, 5 TD) and Trestan Ebner (7.5 yards per carry, 317 rushing yards. 64 receiving yards, 1 TD) will do work on the ground. 

While ISU running back Breece Hall is a future NFL back, I’m not sold on quarterback Brock Purdy, who imploded against Iowa, going 13-27 for 138 yards, 0 TD and 3 INTs and had to be removed from the game. 

Utah State (+285) vs. Boise State

Utah State (3-0) has gotten off to a hot start, upsetting Washington State (26-23) on the road in their season-opener and then beating North Dakota (48-24) at home and Air Force (49-45) on the road.

Meanwhile, Boise State (1-2) has struggled out of the gate due to the quality of their opponents, losing at UCF (36-31), beating UTEP at home (54-13) and falling to Oklahoma State (21-20) at home last week. 

One of the factors that makes Utah State especially dangerous is that they play two quarterbacks: pocket passer Logan Bonner and scrambler Andrew Peasley. While most teams typically can’t pull off a dual-QB system, Utah State has.

The two have combined for 1,071 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions through three games while the team has also racked up 619 rushing yards and five scores. Also look for senior wideout Deven Thompkins (25 receptions, 454 yards, 3 TD) to light up the Boise State secondary. 

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