This game will air on ESPN2 and is very intriguing.
Virginia is led by junior quarterback Brennan Armstrong, who has delivered an insane 1,298 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and two interceptions in his first three starts of the year. He’s coming off a 39-54, 554-yard, 4-TD, 1-INT performance in a loss to #21 North Carolina last time out and the Cavaliers will likely continue their pass-happy approach offensively in this one.
Wake Forest is coming off a 35-14 blowout win over Florida State and will look to control the time of possession with a more run-heavy attack. They threw the ball 31 times and ran it 58 times in that win. Three running backs each got 13+ carries and sophomore quarterback Sam Hartman will be a game manager. Their defense has been disruptive through three games with six interceptions and 8.0 sacks and should therefore be able to keep this game within a field goal.
BetQL is projecting Virginia to win 34.5 to 31.5, but it wouldn’t be a shock to see an outright win for the Demon Deacons.
Jose Suarez (7-8, 3.67 ERA) has recently found his stride and has allowed just 14 hits and five earned runs in 20.1 innings pitched this month (2.21 ERA).
After simulating the game 10,000 times, BetQL is forecasting Suarez to outperform opposing pitcher Logan Gilbert (6-5, 4.74 ERA). Suarez has a 51% chance to record a Quality Start while Gilbert has a 37% chance.
In simulations in which Suarez recorded a QS, the Angels won 75% of the time.
We also tracked the batter that was the most productive for both teams in the simulations.
Angels superstar Shohei Ohtani averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI and has a 36% chance to have 3 or more hits+walks+RBI. If he does, the Angels have a 67% chance of winning.
Seven hitters in Seattle’s expected lineup have 20%+ strikeout rates against left-handed pitching and only three are true power threats with Isolated Power rates over the .200 benchmark. That should work in Los Angeles’ favor.
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