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Steph Curry is the hottest player in the world right now and even though the Suns (17-3) have won 16 consecutive games, the Warriors (18-2) have gone 13-1 ATS in November and have simply been the most dominant team in the league this season. Their Net Rating of +13.6 (which measures the difference between Offensive Rating -- the higher the better -- and Defensive Rating -- the lower the better) leads the NBA by a massive margin. For context, the last team to finish a season double digits in the positive in Net Rating was the 2016-2017 Warriors (+11.4). The all-time best since this started getting tracked was the Chicago Bulls in 1996-1997 (+11.8). CLICK HERE to read all about this matchup, including more data like this, or bet this now using our exclusive sportsbook offer below!
Saint Louis (6-1) is off to a hot start while Boise State (3-3) is sitting right at .500. Under Leon Rice, the Broncos are just 2-10 ATS in home games where the total is between 130 and 134.5. Since this over/under is 132, the trend is activated and therefore makes me even more interested in the road underdog. Saint Louis ranks 24th out of 357 Division-I teams in points per game (82.0) while Boise State ranks T-310th, averaging just 61.3. While it’s difficult to compare early-season performance based on the unknown quality of opponents, if the Billikens can push the tempo and get Boise State to play up to their pace, they should have no issue keeping this game within four points. I wouldn’t be shocked if they pulled off an outright win. BetQL agrees; CLICK HERE to see the model’s projection!
After simulating this game 10,000 times, the BetQL model is giving the Red Wings goalie(s) an edge in save percentage at 92.3% compared to the Bruins goalie(s), who has a forecasted save percentage of 91.7%. While the model projects Boston to win this game, they’re giving them a 1.2 goal edge, closer to a one-goal win than a two-goal win. That’s enough for me to back Detroit in this spot, who have been in decent form lately. Remember, if Detroit loses by one goal, this bet still wins.