West Virginia Takes Aim At Iowa State After Texas Loss

This is a huge game for both teams involved and will be played on national television

Paula Cristina, Flickr

Iowa State (-10.5) at West Virginia 

Saturday October 12th, 4:00pm EST

ACCESS BETTING DATA   

  • BetQL’s College Football Model labels West Virginia (+10.5) as a ★★★ bet, but lists the Iowa State -420 moneyline as a ★ bet, meaning that the algorithm projects the Cyclones to win, but by 10 or fewer points. 

  • Iowa is 3-2, but lost their two games by a combined three points (18-17 to Iowa on September 14th and 23-21 to Baylor on September 28th). Both of those losses came to ranked opponents.

  • West Virginia is 3-2 as well and is coming off a loss to No. 11 Texas. 

  • The Mountaineers lead the overall series against the Cyclones 5-2. 

What’s At Stake 

This game means a lot to the West Virginia program. Not only did they just lose two defensive starters to the transfer portal, but this is the first of three-straight nationally-televised games. After this contest, they’ll travel to No. 6 Oklahoma and to No. 22 Baylor in consecutive weeks. Therefore, earning this home win is crucial for a team with bowl aspirations. 

This is the continuation of a tough stretch for Iowa State as well. They’ll travel to Texas Tech, host Oklahoma State and then will square off against Oklahoma and Texas in mid-November. In many ways, the outcome of this game will shape the rest of the season of both teams involved.

BetQL’s NCAAF Model went 79-45 (63.7% win, +7.35 avg return) across all ★★★ (and better) bets in Week 6. View the algorithm’s Best Bets for Week 7!

Austin Kendall And The 4-INT Game Against Texas

Oklahoma transfer Austin Kendall went 31-for-46 for a career-high 367 yards and three touchdowns against the Longhorns last week, but threw four interceptions en route to a 42-31 loss. His 46 passes was exactly double the amount of rushing attempts that his team had and was a continuation of the pass-happy offense that the team has been running all season long. 

Take a look at Kendall’s pass attempts per game: 42, 25, 40, 37 and 46. 

What didn’t show up in the box score was that Kendall played the entire Texas game with a bandage on his throwing hand (after cutting it on a helmet the week before). That certainly could have played a role in the four giveaways. 

Iowa State ranks 77th out of 130 FBS schools in passing yards allowed per game (234.4), which is in the bottom half. Therefore, expect Kendall and the Mountaineers offense to be heavily featured in order to keep up with Cyclones quarterback Brock Purdy, who is leading the Big 12 in passing (315.6 yards per game).

What BetQL’s Model Says 

BetQL’s College Football Model labels West Virginia (+10.5) as a ★★★ bet, but lists the Iowa State -420 moneyline as a ★ bet, meaning that the algorithm projects the Cyclones to win, but by 10 or fewer points. It also lists the under 52 consensus point total as a ★★ bet.

BetQL’s NCAAF Model has gone 106-81-6 (56.7% win, +7.71 avg return) across all ★★★★★ bets this year. Find out how many are on this week’s slate!