Week 4 College Football Public & Sharp Betting Report

College football line movement, sharp bets and heavy public favorites for Week 4

Week 3 of college football is in the books, and we couldn't be more excited about Week 4 here at BetQL. Can you believe we are already moving into the fourth week of football? It is crazy how fast time flies when you are winning bets and killing the books with our model. The college season has already seen so many twists and turns, crazy comebacks and huge blowout victories, and it's hard to keep up with it all with so many teams in action every Saturday. The good news is, you don't have to. Leave that to us.

Not only do we have our model's best bets and expert articles, but we also have live data tracking what the public is betting, where the sharps are betting and how the lines are moving. When you subscribe to BetQL, you'll gain access to all of that real-time data, as well as the best bets and key trends for every game.

Let's take a look at some of the data from the games below as we give you a sneak preview of one of BetQL's most helpful tools. You can also take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is picking for all sports, including NFL Week 3. Start your free trial today!

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Line Movement: Minnesota at Michigan State

This is one of the key games in Week 4 where we have seen some significant line movement from the opening number. Michigan State's straight up loss to Washington last week has seen people start to fade them, so much so that they are now home underdogs to Minnesota. The Golden Gophers are now -1 favorites on the road after opening up as +3 underdogs.

Minnesota has actually been really impressive so far with their play, starting the season 3-0, with every game being a blowout win. Granted, that was against some pretty poor competition like Colorado and New Mexico State, but a win is a win. Their great play along with Michigan State's struggles have created this movement.

What this all means is books have seen a massive influx of cash coming in on the Golden Gophers. You can clearly see this on our "Line Movement" page of our website, which will show you the difference between the opening line and current number. BetQL's lines change immediately when the sportsbooks change theirs, so you can always count on us to have the most updated number.

See our model's best bets for this game below and be sure to check out all line movement data for this week's slate of games!

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Sharp Money: Akron at Liberty

Well, the smart folks certainly are loving Liberty in this game, and while it may not be the headliner of the week, there is value to be had here. At the time of this writing, 63% of tickets are backing Akron to cover as the +26.5 underdog, but less than 1% of the money. Almost 100% of the total money is backing Liberty versus the spread, but just 37% of tickets. That's a 63% difference between the total money wagered and the total ticket percentage, a huge sharp bet. This is a massive spread, but the big spenders are loving the Flames.

This data is available for every game of the slate for BetQL subscribers, so they always know which bet the high-rollers are backing. Compare this with our best bets for this game below.

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Public Bets: No. 13 Utah at Arizona State

When a coach of a team literally gets fired ON THE FIELD after a terrible loss, you had better believe that team is going to be faded hard by the public. Herm Edwards was terminated before he even stepped off the field by the Arizona State AD, so naturally, everyone is rushing to bet a really good team in Utah to crush them in Week 4. The Utes are -15.5 favorites on the road against the Sun Devils, and even that may not be enough for people to stop betting them.

Taking a look at our data, a huge 93% of the tickets are on Utah -15.5, so pretty much everyone is betting on the Utes to absolutely destroy the Sun Devils and cover the spread.

Betting against the public can be a smart strategy, though, when it creates value on the opposite side. It doesn't always pan out, so you always have to be mindful of how you're factoring in this data, but BetQL will help you make these decisions with our model projections and analysis. Find out if our model is aligned with the public.

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Register for a Fanduel account, make your first deposit and bet up to $1,000 on anything. If you win, great! If you lose, FanDuel will fully refund you in free bets!

Take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is projecting for NFL Week 3! Start your free trial today!

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