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This college football season has proven to be especially unpredictable to this point. With last minute cancellations, injuries, and postponements, it’s been hard to get a read on certain teams. The Northwestern Wildcats have been an exception. They’ve exceeded expectations and enter this game with an undefeated 4-0 record. Northwestern has also gone 3-0-1 ATS this season. They’ve continued to prove people wrong, but Northwestern will get their toughest test of the season against a very good Wisconsin team.
The Wildcats make their money on the defensive side of the ball. They’re seventh in the nation in points allowed at just 14.0 per game, and they give up just over 300 total yards per contest, a mark that's just outside of the top-10. Because of their defense, Northwestern hasn’t had to put too many points up offensively, which has led to an 0-4 over/under record this season. However, that could be expected to change this week against a high-powered offense in Wisconsin.
What a performance by the Wisconsin Badgers a week ago. Entering their game against Michigan as only 7-point favorites, the Badgers laid the smackdown, winning 49-11 in a game that was never close. This pushed Wisconsin to 2-0 on the season. The 94 points of production over two games has the Badgers at 2-0 ATS with the over hitting twice (nearly on their own).
Wisconsin completely dominated every facet of the game. Entering halftime, the Badgers already held a 28-0 lead. Mind you, this game was taking place on the road in Ann Arbor, a traditionally hard place to play. That didn’t matter to Wisconsin. They were the better team all night, and they never took their foot off the gas.
Freshman quarterback Graham Mertz had another good game, throwing for 127 yards and two touchdowns. As a team, the Badgers had four players rush for over 65 yards last game. If they continue playing like this, they’ll be in the conversation for a playoff berth. However, they can’t overlook a very good Northwestern team that enters this game ranked 19th in the country.
Wisconsin (+700) is considered the second-favorite to win the Big Ten Conference, per DraftKings Sportsbook.
Both of these teams enter this game undefeated, and they're looking for a statement win for the committee. Going on the road and beating a top-20 team would solidify Wisconsin's ranking as one of the best teams in the country. However, for Northwestern to win this game and move to 5-0, it would change the whole tune around this team, and the rest of the season would become very meaningful for the Wildcats. It’s a huge game for both teams with most expecting a close battle.
Keep an eye on the over/under line (43.5), as it's currently very low.