Back This Week 13 College Football Underdog

Best Underdog Bet Of The Week

I know exactly what you want this week in college football, and that is an underdog that will win you plus-money to come through and cash. That is what we all want every week right? It doesn't always happen, but one thing we can do, is bet on the most likely underdog to win outright. That's why we look at the BetQL model each week and determine which team has the best chance to pull off an upset.

This week, we take a look at the Kentucky Wildcats against the Louisville Cardinals, where our model is loving the Wildcats as +125 underdogs on the road.

The spread for this game is just +/-3, with Louisville favored as the home team. Louisville is 6-5 this season, while Kentucky is 8-3 and had been ranked a majority of the season before falling off recently. They did just blast New Mexico, a game which ended in a 56-16 blowout, so they will look to carry that momentum here.

BetQL has a bonafide ⭐⭐⭐⭐ bet on the Kentucky +125 moneyline. Not only that, but we have a great trend for you as well. Mark Stoops is 13-4 SU vs. mistake prone teams that average 60+ penalty yards per game while coaching Kentucky. He takes advantage of teams like Louisville, so taking the plus money here on the Wildcats is the best underdog bet of the week.

Kentucky vs. Louisville

Kentucky has really been carried this season by its excellent defensive unit, which is 20th in the nation overall and allowing just 335.5 yards per game. Just stifling numbers for anyone who has faced them, and it has been a huge part as to why they have an 8-3 record and a 5-3 mark in the SEC. Their defense is holding teams to under 22.2 points per game.

Their offense hasn't been bad either. As a team, they average 231.9 yards passing and 191.9 yards rushing along with 31.6 PPG. Those numbers should be good enough to beat most teams, and the only real worry people should have is Cardinals QB Malik Cunningham, who is electric. They just whipped Duke, and Cunningham led the Cardinals to a 527 yard seven touchdown day against the Blue Devils.

Fortunately, Kentucky isn't Duke, and this isn't college basketball. I don't know why the Cardinals are favored in this game, mostly because of recent momentum. The Cardinals are 4-1 SU in their last five games, but, they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the SEC. 

I'll take the Wildcats here to get the upset, as I think they actually should be favored.

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