There's not much here that I can give you in terms of making an argument that Rutgers has a chance to win this game on the road at Ohio State. Their defense is ranked #2 in the nation against the run, so they do have that going for them. They’re terrific at slowing things down to a dead stop, and they’re not giving up a ton of big plays. They might have lost to Iowa 27-10, but they never let it get out of hand, and that is what they will have to do here.
QB Evan Simon was able to throw for 300 yards against Iowa, so that is a positive. He's definitely not afraid to throw it, and they probably can do enough against a suspect secondary of Ohio State to at least not get shut out.
However, if you are asking me to make a case for them, I can't in terms of actually winning the game.
The Scarlet Knights have zero margin for error in this game, but they turned it over three times against Iowa in their last matchup, and they probably will do the same here. Ohio State has only turned it over twice this year and has a total of four penalties in the last two games. That right there could be your biggest difference. The offense is a machine, and they should be able to do whatever they want in this game. C.J. Stroud is the Heisman favorite for good reason, as he has 16 TDs to just 1 INT on the year, and has thrown for over 1,200 yards already.
The ground game has been astoundingly effective as well. Treveyon Henderson has 318 yards rushing and 3 TDs on the year. It isn't as strong as what Stroud is doing, but it's strong.
The defense has been playing much better over the 2021 version of the team, and the Rutgers offensive line is going to have serious issues contending with this defensive front of the Buckeyes.
The game will be over in the first quarter, but the question remains if we should bet the 41-point spread in this game or not. While I do think Ohio State wins by a very large amount of points, 41 points is just too many for me to lay. I'd take Rutgers at that number to backdoor this thing in some way, as they are at least somewhat competitive and can probably score two touchdowns in this game.