If you haven't already seen them, go check out the other articles I have put out recently talking about how the BetQL model is nailing an absurd amount of picks. You'll find a bunch of different games and wagers that the model has been killing it on, and this one was no exception. Toledo at plus-money against Western Michigan at home? Yes please, especially at ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Yes, it was only +105, but it is still getting you profit. That is what we are all about here at BetQL, making you money and winning bets, and we would love for them all to be plus-money winners.
The model had the Rockets at -145 on the moneyline which was a massive 250 point difference in the line from what sportsbooks had posted. Crazy enough, the sharp% was on WMU at a 32%. The model once again beating the sharps, we love it.
This was actually a very close and competitive game at halftime, with WMU actually leading Toledo 15-13. I know, weird score, and it's because WMU's kicker missed back-to-back extra points. Hard to believe, but with these small school kickers, it's really not too uncommon.
Then the third quarter happened, and everything just broke the Rockets way. First it was a 34-yard pass from QB Dequan Finn for a TD to make it 20-15, and Toledo would never surrender the lead after that. They had two more rushing TDs that quarter, scoring on every drive to take a 34-15 lead into the fourth. As you know, that's how the game ended. A very boring fourth quarter, but a satisfying win.
Toledo is now 4-4 straight up and ATS, while WMU is 5-3 but 4-3-1 ATS.
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