Can Michigan Spoil Ohio State's Perfect Season?
Winners of four in a row by a 166-45 margin, the Wolverines are peaking at the right time
No. 2 Ohio State (11-0) at No. 10 Michigan (9-2)
OSU -9, O/U 50.5, Saturday November 30th, 12:00pm EST
- All eyes will be on this game as No. 2 Ohio State (11-0) travels to No. 10 Michigan (9-2) on Saturday in a Big Ten battle with College Football Playoff ramifications.
- Ohio State is listed as a nine-point favorite and the over/under is listed at 50.5. The Buckeyes are coming off of a 28-17 victory over Penn State, are in the midst of a perfect season and have gone 8-3 ATS.
- Michigan is riding a dominant four-game winning streak in which they’ve outscored their conference opponents (Notre Dame, Maryland, Michigan State, Indiana) 166-45, are coming off of a 39-14 win over the Hoosiers and have gone 7-4 ATS.
Ohio State
Ohio State has relied heavily on the production of three star players this season: Justin Fields, J.K. Dobbins and Chase Young. Fields has accumulated a ridiculous 43 touchdowns (33 passing) compared to just one interception. That’s one less touchdown that Joe Burrow on 1,456 fewer yards, which is a testament to OSU’s offensive efficiency. Dobbins has already rushed for 1,446 yards and 15 touchdowns while Young has racked up a school-record 16.5 sacks in just nine games played. Ohio State leads all D-I teams in scoring differential and has won their games by an incredible 38.9-point margin this season. Although Penn State’s defense forced OSU’s offense to handle rare adversity due to a couple uncharacteristic turnovers, the Buckeyes fought through those mistakes and will undoubtedly be looking to clean things up in this matchup.
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Michigan
Meanwhile, the Wolverines’ recent success helped move them up in that metric, as they rank 11th in the country in average scoring margin (+17.4). While he has struggled to get things going for most of the season, if the last two weeks are any indication, Ohio State’s defense might have a tough task defending quarterback Shea Patterson and Michigan’s passing offense. Patterson went 24-for-33 for 384 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions against Michigan State and then 20-for-32 for 366 yards, five touchdowns and one interception against Indiana. That’s nine touchdowns in the last two weeks for the senior quarterback, who combined for 12 touchdowns in his previous nine games. Although that success won’t be sustainable against Ohio State’s defense, UM’s offense is trending in the right direction.
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Prediction
If you’re reading our Michigan vs. Ohio State prediction planning to bet on the Wolverines, you’ll be happy to know that in their last 12 games after scoring 20 or more points in the first half, Michigan is 11-1 SU. Meanwhile, Ohio State is 10-1 ATS in the first half of their games this season. It’s easy to see either team covering the nine-point spread, over or under the 50.5 point total hitting in this matchup. In addition to our Ohio State Michigan prediction, you can see more trends, updated odds, injuries and more on this game page.