BetQL Model Trends For NCAAF Championship Game

Alabama Moneyline

I know, you must be thinking "Well duh" when it comes to this. Picking an Alabama game is like telling you the sun will rise tomorrow, it's almost a complete certainty what will happen most times, but one of these days it will be a lie. The Crimson Tide win a lot, but when we say "Alabama moneyline" it doesn't mean we are picking them in the game. Just any moneyline bet on a game in which Alabama is participating. But yeah, it's usually Alabama. That's okay too, because the model has a pretty impeccable record when it comes to betting moneylines in Crimson Tide games.

The BetQL model has gone 31-3 (91%) betting on the moneyline in Alabama games.

Of course, sometimes they are massive favorites in these games, so the profit margin isn't as big if the model picks them. Let's be honest here, nobody is placing a wager on a -10000 moneyline when Alabama takes on The Citadel. Even with games like that, the model has still come out on top overall. If you had placed a $100 bet on each of these games, you'd be up $135.63. Not the largest profit in the world to be sure, but money is money. I'd take extra cash right now, why not?

Georgia Spread

The Bulldogs have enjoyed quite the season this year, with a defense that is rock solid and an offense that is, well, better than it is most years. Our model has a winning record and profit margin when betting the spread in games the Georgia Bulldogs are participating in, and that is music to my ears. With all the lame teams that these big programs play, it's good to know our model can really differentiate between picking a massive favorite and picking an underdog when it is most profitable. Other models I have seen literally just pick the favorite every time because it can't adapt to how a team is playing on a weekly basis. We are in the business of making money, so even if the profit margin is slim on some teams, it is profit.

The BetQL model has gone 19-16 (54%) betting on the spread in Georgia Bulldogs games.

You can expect lower profit margins on teams like Alabama and Georgia overall because they are usually such massive favorites, but any profit is a good thing. If you had placed a $100 wager on every single one of these spread bets, you would be up $132 right now. I will be interested to see who our model picks in this game by kickoff, as it isn't too often we get these small spreads with these schools.

Georgia 1H Total

The model has one more angle here that we think you should consider betting when it comes to this Championship game. There is no doubt this is going to be a good one, and it will be even better when we win cash on it. Georgia has been notorious for having an exceptional defense while having an offense that lacks firepower. They just can't seem to get the quarterback position right, often going through multiple QBs every season to see who fits best. As a result, they play in lower-scoring games quite often. Our model has a winning record and profit when betting on the first half total of Georgia games.

The BetQL model has gone 16-13 (55%) betting on the 1H total in games Georgia is involved in.

This has come with a tidy profit as well. If you had bet $100 on each of these total wagers, you would be up $169 right now. Nice. We always love to see a positive profit margin, and all three of these bets listed today have returned positively overall for us and subscribers who follow the model.

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