Mispriced Opening Lines For College Football Week 8 Action
Jump on these values before the lines move
Dan Karpuc - Oct 18, 2021, 11:47am EDT
- Clemson (+3) at Pittsburgh is standing out as the best early bet of the week. BetQL is projecting the Tigers to win by 3.5 points and pull off the road upset.
- Eastern Michigan (-3) at Bowling Green is a solid value. BetQL is projecting them to win by 9.5 points, a difference of 6.5 points from the consensus line.
- Northwestern (+21.5) at #8 Michigan is also a fantastic early-week bet. Under Pat Fitzgerald, the Wildcats have gone 34-18 ATS as a road underdog and they’re coming off a huge upset win (that we predicted) over Rutgers.
Clemson (+3) at Pittsburgh
Yes, Clemson has started the season 0-6 ATS. However, they’ve been favored by double digits in every game except their season-opener against Georgia. Heading into this matchup against Pittsburgh, it’s clear that Clemson has major offensive question marks, scoring 14, 21, 19 and 17 points, respectively, in their last four ACC games. However, their defense has been elite. The Tigers have allowed 14.4 points per contest which ranks 4th out of 130 Division-I teams.
That’s troubling news for Kenny Pickett and Pittsburgh’s offense. We’re projecting Clemson to win this game by 3.5 points, which would be necessary if they expect to turn their season around.
Eastern Michigan (-3) at Bowling Green
Under Chris Creighton, Eastern Washington has gone 11-2 ATS off a loss by seven or less points to a conference rival. They just lost to Ball State by seven points, which makes this trend relevant.
Here are some more supporting trends under Creighton: EWU has gone 20-10 ATS after gaining 100 or less yards last game, 10-3 ATS after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in two consecutive games and 28-16 ATS on the road. BetQL is projecting them to win by 9.5 points, a difference of 6.5 points from the consensus line.
Northwestern +21.5 at #8 Michigan
Under Pat Fitzgerald, the Wildcats have gone 34-18 ATS as a road underdog and they’re coming off a huge upset win (that we predicted) over Rutgers. Even though Michigan should easily win this game, our model projects NW to lose by 16 points.
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