Mispriced Week 13 NCAAF Moneylines
Our model identified the following edges for this week’s action
Dan Karpuc - Nov 23, 2021, 12:00pm ESTFlorida (-145) vs. Florida State ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
It’s been a disastrous season for both Florida (5-6) and Florida State (5-6), but this rivalry game will mean a lot for both rivals since each program still needs a win to be bowl eligible. Dan Mullen was axed as the Gators head coach leading into this game, but our model is giving Florida the clear edge as a -321 favorite with a 76.3% chance to win. The projected final score: 33 to 22.5 in favor of the Gators at The Swamp. Take advantage of this five-star value on DraftKings!
Texas (-150) vs. Kansas State ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Speaking of disastrous seasons, Texas (4-7) hosts Kansas State (7-4) on Friday, but our model is giving the Longhorns an edge at -228 with a 69.5% chance to win. The projected final score: 31.5 to 24 in favor of UT at home. Despite the fact that the Longhorns won’t make a bowl game, the team’s seniors will want to finish out their collegiate careers on a positive note while returning players will want to gain some momentum heading into next year in what will most likely be an offseason filled with overhauling many positions on the field with transfers and freshmen. Bet this on FanDuel and capture the value now!
Marshall (-120) vs. W. Kentucky ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Marshall (7-4) and Western Kentucky (7-4) have identical records heading into this matchup, but we’re giving the Thundering Herd a -193 moneyline with a 65.9% chance to win. The projected final score: 36-30 in favor of Marshall at home. Marshall running back Rasheen Ali will look to run wild in this game; he’s amassed 1,142 rushing yards on 5.5 yards per carry with 20 touchdowns along with 38 catches for 320 yards and two more scores this season. Bet this on PointsBet now before the line moves!
