Free Week 12 College Football Bets
Using BetQL to make the most informed bets possible
#15 Wisconsin (7-2) at Nebraska (4-5)
WIS -14.5, O/U 51
Saturday November 16th, 12:00pm EST
Last week, Wisconsin got by Iowa (24-22) after losing two-straight losses (to Illinois and Ohio State). Meanwhile, Nebraska has lost three-straight games (to Minnesota, Indiana and Purdue). On the year, Wisconsin has gone 5-4 ATS while Nebraska has gone 1-8 ATS (0-6 against Big Ten opponents). The over has gone 3-6 in Wisconsin games and 3-5 in Nebraska contests. Jonathan Taylor is the NFL prospect to watch in this matchup. The senior Wisconsin running back has taken 208 carries for 1,259 yards and has scored 15 times on the ground so far. He will be heavily utilized in this contest.
Our model lists Wisconsin -14.5 as the best bet ATS, as well as the Badgers’ -650 moneyline and over the 51 point total as a five-star (max-value) wager. Under Scott Frost, Nebraska is 2-9 SU after one or more consecutive losses ATS and 1-10 against opposing passing offenses with a 58 percent or better completion percentage. Therefore, Wisconsin is an appealing target in this matchup.
Syracuse (3-6) at Duke (4-5)
DUKE -10.5, O/U 54
Saturday November 16th, 4:00pm EST
Both of these teams are in the midst of a free fall. Syracuse has lost four-straight games (North Carolina State, Pittsburgh, Florida State, Boston College) while Duke has lost three-straight (Virginia, North Carolina, Notre Dame). On the season, Syracuse has gone 2-6 ATS while Duke has gone 3-4 and the over has gone 3-5 in Syracuse contests and 6-3 in Duke games. While their teams have both struggled, the starting quarterbacks in this showdown have performed well individually this year. Orange quarterback Tommy DeVito has amassed 2,075 passing yards, 17 touchdowns and just five interceptions this season while Duke quarterback Quentin Harris has accounted for 22 touchdowns (including six rushing scores).
Our model lists Syracuse +10.5 as the best bet ATS in this matchup, but expects Duke to win the game outright (the Blue Devils’ -400 moneyline is also labeled as the best bet). Further, the algorithm expects the game to stay under the 54 point total.
USC (6-4) at California (5-4)
USC -6.5, O/U 48
Saturday November 16th, 11:00pm EST
There’s a lot riding on this game for Cal. If they win, they’ll become bowl eligible. Early-season starter Chase Garber has been cleared from an injury that kept him out of the bulk of the regular season. While it’s not a given that he will start, that’s a positive sign for the Golden Bears, who are coming off of a 33-20 win over Washington State. Before that, they lost four-straight Pac-12 games. Meanwhile, USC has won three of their last four contests (against Arizona, Colorado and Arizona State). Freshman Trojan quarterback Kedon Slovis has amassed 2,321 passing yards and 20 touchdowns since taking over the starting job (with nine interceptions) while Michael Pittman Jr. has emerged as one of the best wideouts in college football, having posted 71 receptions, 938 receiving yards and eight touchdowns.
On the season, USC and Cal have both gone 4-5 ATS and the over has gone 5-5 in USC games and 2-7 in Cal contests. Our model labels Cal +6.5 as the best bet in this matchup, but lists the -250 USC moneyline as the valued wager. Under the 48 point total is also listed as the best bet.
Under Justin Wilcox, Cal is 7-0 ATS in Weeks 10-13 and 13-4 ATS after a game in which they committed zero or one turnovers. Meanwhile, under Clay Helton, USC is 12-2 SU after scoring 20 points or more in the first half of two straight games, 9-1 SU after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game, 32-6 SU as a favorite vs. the moneyline, 29-12 SU against conference opponents and 15-4 SU after out-gaining their opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game.
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