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Sharp bettors are backing Alabama’s moneyline and how can you blame them? It’s not often that you can get the Crimson Tide at plus money to win the national championship. After beating Georgia, 41-24, in the SEC championship game, Nick Saban and his coaching staff already have the blueprint to win this game. I view Saban exactly like I view Tom Brady and there’s absolutely no way I’m betting against him in this situation. Bama QB and Heisman Trophy winner Bryce Young went 26-for-44 for 421 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions and also added a rushing TD on Dec. 4th, essentially carving up UGA’s star-studded defense. I don’t expect a full-on repeat performance, but that proved that the Crimson Tide have the clear edge offensively and specifically at the most important position on the field.
Let's take a look at the times the Alabama Crimson Tide have been underdogs since 2008. Over the last 13 years, they have been underdogs just seven times, including this National Championship. Seven ... in 13 years of playing college football games. That is truly remarkable, but that's not the best part. Of the six games prior to this one that they were underdogs, Alabama won five of them outright. Their only loss was in 2008 vs. Florida. Seriously, how can I not? Just take the points with the best college football head coach of all time, and a team that just destroyed this opponent last month. I think this game will certainly be more competitive and closer than the SEC championship, but I cannot see a scenario where Georgia beats up on the Tide. I would be careful, because this line seems fishy to me, but I don't see how you can't bet on Alabama getting points.
HORNER: GEORGIA VS. ALABAMA X-FACTORS
Alabama is averaging 41.4 points per game, while Georgia is averaging 39 points per game, so between these two I see this total soaring over. Georgia has also hit the over in three of their last five games. They hit this over when they played in December in Alabama beat Georgia 41-24 and I think the score will be similar here.
Why is Bama not favored in this? If I can get plus money on Nick Saban’s team against the same program he stomped just a month ago, I’m gonna take it. Look, I get Georgia’s defense was dominant this year, I was in awe of them (almost) every week. But we saw what a prepared Saban, who’s a master motivator, got his team to do against Georgia in the SEC title game. Not to mention Bryce Young just carving up the Bulldogs in that game. I took Bama in that one, and I’m doing it again here.
Don't bet against Nick Saban.
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