College Football Betting Guide: Odds, Trends & Picks For Week 13

College Football Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 13

The college football season rolls along to Week 13, and BetQL is your source for NCAAF best bets, live college football public bets, live NCAAF sharp data, college football line movement and historical betting trends in addition to our NCAAF articles that cover the sport from top to bottom. Scroll down to see all the best bets and key betting trends for this week's top matchups.

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Mississippi State at No. 20 Ole Miss

ATS Record: Mississippi State 5-5-1, Ole Miss 4-6-1

O/U Record: Mississippi State 7-4, Ole Miss 6-5

As usual, the Egg Bowl is the only college football game on Thanksgiving. The road team has actually won five of the last seven games in this rivalry, perhaps giving MSU a slight edge. Lane Kiffin’s team has also lost three of its last four games heading down the stretch. Of course, the Rebels are still the third-best rushing team in the country, averaging over 278 yards per game on the ground. However, Mike Leach is 33-14 ATS against teams that average over 200 rushing yards and 20-8 ATS against teams that average over 230 rushing yards.

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No. 19 Tulane at No. 21 Cincinnati

ATS Record: Tulane 9-2, Cincinnati 3-7-1

O/U Record: Tulane 5-6, Cincinnati 5-6

With both teams suffering a head-to-head loss to UCF this season, Friday’s showdown is essentially a play-in game for the AAC Championship Game, as the winner will win the regular-season title while the loser would need a miracle to still finish second. The Bearcats have won all four meetings between these teams since 2014, including a 31-12 win last year. Of course, the Green Wave has crushed the spread this year, going 9-2 ATS whereas Cincinnati snapped a six-game ATS losing streak last week. For what it’s worth, Tulane played last Thursday, so they actually have an extra day whereas Cincinnati is playing in a short week.

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Baylor at No. 24 Texas

ATS Record: Baylor 7-4, Texas 7-4

O/U Record: Baylor 7-4, Texas 5-6

With a win and a little help, Texas can still get to the Big 12 Championship Game. The Longhorns have also won their last home game against the Bears. Oddly enough, the Longhorns have lost their last two home games ATS. As for the Bears, they’ve lost two in a row but have won all three Big 12 games in which they’ve been the underdog. Also, Baylor is 13-5 ATS under Dave Aranda when facing a team with a winning record and 10-3 ATS against teams that average at least 31 points per game. The Longhorns are averaging 35.5 points per game this year.

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No. 13 Notre Dame at No. 5 USC

ATS Record: Notre Dame 6-5, USC 7-4

O/U Record: Notre Dame 6-5, USC 8-3

The Trojans already know they’ll be in the Pac-12 Championship Game next week, although their College Football Playoff hopes hinge on beating the Irish, a win that could boost their resume significantly. The Irish have won five in a row and have won SU in two of their three games as underdogs this season. Notre Dame has also won four in a row and seven of the last nine games in this rivalry. However, the Trojans are 6-0 at home this season with all but one of those wins coming by at least 16 points.

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N.C. State at No. 18 North Carolina

ATS Record: N.C. State 3-8, North Carolina 5-5-1

O/U Record: N.C. State 4-6-1, North Carolina 5-6

The Wolfpack have won four of the last six games in this rivalry, not to mention three of their last four games in Chapel Hill, so the momentum has swung toward N.C. State’s favor in recent years. But other than the rivalry, this game has no meaning, as the Tar Heels are already in the ACC title game next week, while the Wolfpack is already bowl-eligible. Then again, UNC would love to erase the memory of last week’s loss to Georgia Tech, while N.C. State would love to avoid a three-game losing streak to end the season. As a favorite, the Tar Heels are just 2-5-1 ATS, including two SU losses.

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No. 17 UCLA at Cal

ATS Record: UCLA 6-5, Cal 6-5

O/U Record: UCLA 8-3, Cal 6-5

Back-to-back losses have cost the Bruins any chance at winning the Pac-12, although a 10-win season is on the table for Chip Kelly’s team if they can win this week and win their bowl game. Seven of the last nine games in this rivalry have gone UCLA’s way. The Bruins are also 8-1 ATS over the last two seasons against teams with a losing record. Cal is just 4-7 and has no bowl hopes. But the Bears did manage to snap a six-game losing streak by beating Stanford last week and have gone 2-2 ATS in their last four games as an underdog.

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Florida at No. 16 Florida State

ATS Record: Florida 6-5, Florida State 8-3

O/U Record: Florida 6-5, Florida State 5-6

The Seminoles are trying to put an exclamation point on what has been an excellent second half of the season while also snapping a three-game losing streak against their in-state rivals. FSU has won four in a row, averaging 43.4 points per game during that stretch while covering the spread in all four games. As a result, Mike Norvell is now 18-5 ATS in November games during his coaching career. Meanwhile, the Gators are hoping to bounce back from last week’s loss to Vanderbilt and secure a winning record before their bowl game. Despite an uneven season, Florida is 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS as an underdog this year.

No. 3 Michigan at No. 2 Ohio State

ATS Record: Michigan 6-5, Ohio State 6-4-1

O/U Record: Michigan 2-8-1, Ohio State 8-3

This could be the game of the season in college football, as the winner will go to the Big Ten Championship Game while the loser will have to hold their breath in hopes of sneaking into the College Football Playoff at 11-1. The Wolverines won last year’s meeting, sending Michigan to the CFP. But it’s no secret the Buckeyes have owned this rivalry lately, winning the previous eight meetings. In fact, Michigan hasn’t won a game in Columbus since 2000. More recently, the Buckeyes have lost three of their last four games ATS. Also, the game within the game is whether it’s a defensive slugfest or a shootout, as the Wolverines prefer the former, going 2-8-1 O/U while the Buckeyes are accustomed to high-scoring affairs, going 8-3 O/U.

South Carolina at No. 7 Clemson

ATS Record: South Carolina 7-4, Clemson 6-5

O/U Record: South Carolina 6-5, Clemson 6-5

After a 30-0 win in last year’s Palmetto Bowl, the Tigers have a seven-game winning streak over the Gamecocks. Of course, Clemson is only 3-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite this season and could be looking ahead a little toward next week’s ACC Championship Game. Meanwhile, South Carolina’s confidence couldn’t be higher after last week’s 63-38 thrashing of Tennessee, even as a 22.5-point underdog.

No. 23 Coastal Carolina at James Madison

ATS Record: Coastal Carolina 4-5-1, James Madison 6-4

O/U Record: Coastal Carolina 5-5, James Madison 6-4

The winner of this game will win the Sun Belt East Division and play in the conference title game next week. Reaching the Sun Belt title game would be huge for James Madison in the program’s first year at the FBS level. Of course, the Chanticleers won the East Division just two seasons ago. They are also 9-1 on the season and peaking at the right time whereas the Dukes are 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five games.

No. 10 Oregon at No. 22 Oregon State

ATS Record: Oregon 8-3, Oregon State 9-2

O/U Record: Oregon 7-4, Oregon State 6-5

The Ducks lost their trip to Corvallis two years ago, although they’ve won 12 of their last 14 games against their in-state rivals. But it’s been a while since the Beavers were a top-25 caliber team. To their credit, the Ducks are 3-1 ATS as road favorites this season. But they also have the pressure of knowing they need to win to secure their spot in the Pac-12 Championship Game next week.

Iowa State at No. 4 TCU

ATS Record: Iowa State 4-6-1, TCU 8-2-1

O/U Record: Iowa State 2-9, TCU 6-5

The Horned Frogs lost ATS for just the second time this season, although they are just two wins away from an improbable spot in the College Football Playoff. It’s worth mentioning that TCU’s last seven wins have all come by 10 points or less, and this week they’re being asked to cover more than 10 points. On top of that, the Cyclones have won three in a row against TCU, including a 48-14 blowout last year. That said, the Cyclones are poised to finish last in the Big 12, going 1-7 in conference play thus far.

Michigan State at No. 11 Penn State

ATS Record: Michigan State 5-6, Penn State 8-3

O/U Record: Michigan State 5-6, Penn State 8-3

The Spartans know they need a win to become bowl eligible, although they are 6-3 in their last nine head-to-head games with Penn State. They also scored a huge road win as double-digit underdogs against Illinois a few weeks ago, so they’ll have some confidence despite last week’s loss to Indiana. Of course, the Nittany Lions are rocking a three-game winning streak, outscoring their opponents 130-24 during that stretch.

No. 6 LSU at Texas A&M

ATS Record: LSU 7-4, Texas A&M 3-7-1

O/U Record: LSU 5-6, Texas A&M 4-7

This rivalry has brought us some memorable games in recent years, including that seven-overtime thriller in 2018. It’s also worth mentioning that the home team has won the last five games, which doesn’t bode well for LSU. Win or lose, the Tigers will be in the SEC Championship Game next week, although a win keeps them alive in the College Football Playoff discussion. As for the Aggies, they won’t even play in a bowl game this year, so this is the end of the season for Jimbo Fisher’s team. They were sleepwalking in a 20-3 win over UMass last week and are just 1-2-1 ATS as an underdog.

No. 25 UCF at South Florida

ATS Record: UCF 7-4, USF 4-7

O/U Record: UCF 4-7, USF 7-3-1

The Knights have taken five in a row from their in-state rivals, and a sixth straight win would put them in a good position to reach the AAC title game. Of course, they took a loss in last week’s game against Navy. The good news is that South Florida has been a disaster this season, going 1-10 and winless in conference play. But the Bulls are a somewhat respectable 4-5 ATS as a double-digit underdog this season.

No. 9 Tennessee at Vanderbilt

ATS Record: Tennessee 8-3, Vanderbilt 5-6

O/U Record: Tennessee 7-4, Vanderbilt 6-5

Hendon Hooker is done for the season, as are Tennessee’s College Football Playoff hopes after last week’s stunning loss to South Carolina. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt has won back-to-back games, both as double-digit underdogs, knocking off Kentucky and Florida. Those aren’t exactly cheap wins for Clark Lea, who can take Vandy to a bowl game with a win this week. While the Vols have won three in a row in this rivalry, they’ve only won one of their last three trips to Nashville. The Commodores are also 3-1 ATS in their last four games.

Kansas at No. 15 Kansas State

ATS Record: Kansas 7-3-1, Kansas State 7-3-1

O/U Record: Kansas 7-4, Kansas State 5-6

A win against their in-state rivals is all Kansas State needs to reach the Big 12 Championship Game. The Wildcats have won 13 in a row against Kansas, although the 2022 Jayhawks are a little different from those past Kansas teams. The Jayhawks know they’re going to a bowl game despite losing five of their last six games. Kansas has also lost three in a row ATS as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS when favored this season.

No. 12 Washington at Washington State

ATS Record: Washington 6-5, Washington State 8-3

O/U Record: Washington 7-4, Washington State 2-9

With a win and an Oregon loss, the Huskies can sneak into the Pac-12 Championship Game, so the stakes are high in this year’s Apple Cup. The Cougars pulled off a 40-13 win in last year’s rivalry game, although the Huskies have won 10 of their last 12 games against their in-state rivals. More recently, the Huskies are riding a five-game winning streak into their season finale. However, the Cougars have won three in a row and are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their Pac-12 home games this year.

MORE: THIS WEEK’S COLLEGE FOOTBALL STAFF PICKS

BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best college football bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NFL, NBA, NHL and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!