BetQL's Free Week 13 College Football Best Bets
A deeper look into BetQL's 3 unlocked NCAAF games
Quick-Hitters
- Air Force (-220) is favored by 5.5 points over Colorado State (+180) with the over/under set at 55 total points. CLICK HERE FOR LIVE GAME ODDS!
- Central Michigan (-270) is favored by 7 points over Eastern Michigan (+220) with the over/under set at 59.5 total points. CLICK HERE FOR LIVE GAME ODDS!
- Ole Miss (-340) is favored by 9.5 points over Mississippi State (+270) with the over/under set at 67.5 total points. CLICK HERE FOR LIVE GAME ODDS!
Get all of BetQL's best bets for this week's NCAAF slate! Dating back a full calendar year, our five-star (max-value) bets have won 61% of the time!
Colorado State @ Air Force
The Air Force Falcons' ground game has been overwhelming in the majority of games this season. They've posted a minimum of 356 rushing yards in 3-of-4 contests. This has generated plenty of scoring, as the Falcons have produced at least 28 points on three occasions. Despite allowing 49 points to Boise State last month, the defense has allowed an average of just 18.2 points per game.
The Colorado State Rams' offense hasn't quite lived up to expectations. They've averaged 24.0 points per contest. It's a significant dip from the 28.1 points they averaged in 2019. Pair that with the fact that Colorado State has allowed a massive 38.0 points per game and it's easy to see why they've failed to cover in 2-of-3 games. The Rams are 0-2 ATS on the road as well, and the Falcons have covered in 2-of-3 at home.
Thousands of simulations show Air Force winning 76.0 percent of the time with a projected score of 33.5-22.5. This wide margin has pegged Air Force (-5.5) as a 3-star bet to cover. The Falcons (-220) also have a 3-star value on the moneyline.
A first half bet stands out among the rest. Colorado State has averaged 18.2 points per first half this season. This goes to show how slow their second halves have turned out, but it bodes well for bettors. A 3-star bet also rears its head in support of over 26.5 first half points.
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan
The Central Michigan Chippewas and Eastern Michigan Eagles have participated in some high-scoring affairs. They've been fast starters, including slow on defense. Central Michigan games and Eastern Michigan games have (strangely) averaged an identical first half point total of 31.3 over three games this season.
With a first half over/under line of 29.5 points, simulations have shown enough confidence to make the over a 3-star bet. The first half over is the best wager in this entire game and provides bettors with a solid return on investment. The moneylines leave little to desire in this battle (1-star), so stick with the best bet of over 29.5 first half points.
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss
Here's a classic tale of two teams. While Ole Miss games have throttled the scoring (5-2 over/under record), Mississippi State Games have resulted in the opposite (2-5 over/under record). Ole Miss has seen lines top 72 points in 4-of-7 games while Mississippi State has seen a line of 45 or less in their last two contests.
The line that this game draws is over/under 67.5. This is similar to what Ole Miss has seen this season, but for MSU, it's 0.5-points off of their season-high. The under hit in the one game that Miss State drew a 68-point line. BetQL's projections suggest that there's a cushion, and it's worth a 3-star bet supporting under 67.5 points, the best bet for this game.
Oddsmakers were successful in setting fair lines throughout this game. Stick to the top rated bets here. Sometimes, less is more.
