Alabama Has A Lot At Stake Against Auburn In The Iron Bowl

They have to make a major statement to earn a spot in the College Football Playoff

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No. 5 Alabama (10-1) at No. 16 Auburn (8-3)

BAMA -3.5, O/U 50, Saturday November 30th, 3:30pm EST

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  • The No. 5 Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1) are headed to across the state to take on their SEC rival No. 16 Auburn Tigers (8-3) in Week 14 on Saturday 11/30/19 in the Iron Bowl.

  • Alabama is listed as a 3.5 point road favorite and the over/under is listed at 50. After losing 46-41 to LSU in Week 11, the Crimson Tide dominated Mississippi State 38-7 on the road and then embarrassed Western Carolina 66-3 in Tuscaloosa last week. Bama has gone 6-5 ATS this season.

  • Meanwhile, Auburn has gone 3-3 in their last six games and are coming off a 52-0 shutout of Samford. They’ve gone 8-3 ATS this season.

Alabama

Alabama received a major gut-punch when they lost Tua Tagovailoa for the season against Mississippi State. That injury handed over the starting quarterback duties to redshirt sophomore Mac Jones, who has been very solid in his limited time under center behind Tagovailoa this season. This is Jones’ first test as Bama’s starter, and he will be surrounded by top-tier talent, from ultra-productive wideouts DeVonta Smith, Jerry Jeudy and Henry Ruggs III to running back Najee Harris and an elite offensive line. Since LSU and Georgia are already slated to meet in the SEC Championship Game, Alabama needs a resounding victory in this game (and some help from a loss by teams in front of them) to make it into the College Football Playoff. 

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Auburn

After beating Oregon and Texas A&M earlier in the season, Auburn has lost three-straight games to ranked teams (Florida, LSU, Georgia). However, they gave each of those programs a run for their money, suffering 11, three and seven-point losses, respectively. Freshman quarterback Bo Nix has struggled, completing just 57.6 percent of his passes on the season while averaging just 164.8 passing yards per game in their five contests against ranked opponents. It’s safe to say that he will have his hands full against a Crimson Tide defense that’s filled with former pros and the urgency and intensity manufactured by Nick Saban and the thought of missing out on the CFP. Wideout Seth Williams has been the most reliable target in the Tigers’ passing game, but expect them to lean on their running game, which is their bread and butter. Auburn has accumulated 2,351 rushing yards compared to their 2,348 passing yards this season and has scored 28 touchdowns on the ground compared to 18 through the air. 

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Prediction

If you are looking at our Alabama vs. Auburn prediction to confirm which side you already like,  you have to ask yourself whether or not you trust Jones and rest of Alabama’s roster. If so, you’ll be glad to find out that the Crimson Tide have gone 28-1 SU in their last 29 games in which they led their last two games at the half. Further, Auburn has gone 1-5 SU in their last six games coming off of three-straight unders. If you are planning to side with Auburn, note that the Tigers have gone 9-2 SU after covering as a double-digit favorite in their last 11 games in that scenario. It’s easy to see either rival winning in this year’s installment of the Iron Bowl.

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