Ohio State vsMichigan State Prediction
Ohio State is a heavy favorite winning 95% of simulations over Michigan State. C.J. Stroud is averaging 267 passing yards and 3.38 TDs per simulation and TreVeyon Henderson is projected for 100 rushing yards and a 77% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 5% of simulations where Michigan State wins, Payton Thorne averages 1.76 TD passes vs 0.59 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.72 TDs to 0.99 interceptions. Payton Thorne averages 103 rushing yards and 0.69 rushing TDs when Michigan State wins and 92 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. Ohio State has a 54% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MICHST +26 --- Over/Under line is 63