Top 8 NCAA Conference Tournament Value Bets

Conference tournament odds are out on BetMGM and there are a number of values to jump on! Take a look at the top 8 options below!

8. Mountain West Champions: Utah State (+200)

BetQL Model Trend To Know: 78.2% on Mountain West ML bets all-time

Key Stat: +10.9 rebound margin (1st out of 340 D-I schools)

Analysis: As indicated by the Mountain West Championship odds, oddsmakers don’t have a firm pulse on a winner. San Diego State (+150), Boise State (+300) and Colorado State (+400) are also in the mix, but Utah State stands out for a couple reasons. First, they’re the best team rebounding team in college basketball. At +10.9, they’re above 339 other schools atop the rankings. Second, 7-foot, 245-pound NBA prospect Neemias Queta is averaging 14.8 points and 9.7 rebounds per contest. He should be able to make his presence known and has an incentive to dominate in the conference tournament.

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7. ACC Champions: Florida State (+250)

BetQL Model Trend To Know: 67.6% on FSU bets all-time

Key Stat: 38.7% made 3-pointers (14th in Division-I)

Analysis: Nine different Seminoles average over 14 minutes per game and five average more than 9 points per game. Led by M.J. Walker (12.8 PPG), RaiQuan Gray (12.0) and Scottie Barnes (10.2), FSU’s depth allows them to match up with any opponent. Schools like Virginia (+350), North Carolina (+500), Louisville (+500), Virginia Tech (+500) and Duke (+1400) will also be in the mix, but Leonard Hamilton’s group is the most dangerous.

6. SEC Champions: Alabama (+225)

BetQL Model Trend To Know: 59.4% on ACC bets all-time

Key Stat: 10.7 made 3-pointers per game (4th in Division-I)

Analysis: Bama lives behind the three-point line. In fact, 47.6% of their field goal attempts have been threes. Jaden Shackelford, John Petty Jr., Jahvon Quinerly and Herbert Jones all average double-figures and at the time this article was written, the Crimson Tide only had 2 conference losses. No other team has less than 4. Other teams in the conversation include Alabama (+225), Arkansas (+300), Tennessee (+350) and Florida (+500). Due to the struggles of Kentucky (+1600), this is a year for Alabama to take a step forward.

5. Big Ten Champions: Iowa (+350)

BetQL Model Trend To Know: 58.2% on Big Ten bets all-time

Key Stat: 2.00 assist-to-turnover ratio (1st in Division-I)

Analysis: Look, Michigan (+150), Illinois (+350) and Ohio State (+350) are all solid bets here. However, Iowa stands out for a number of reasons. First, their assist-to-turnover ratio is a ridiculous 0.32 better than the next-best team (and just one of 10 teams above 1.50). They’ve dished out 476 assists to just 238 turnovers, average 19.0 assists per game (2nd in the NCAA) and are shooting 40.1% from three-point range (3rd in NCAA). Luka Garza is the most dominant player in college basketball and Joe Wieskamp and Jordan Bohannon’s upperclassmen leadership should benefit the Hawkeyes. 

4. AAC Champions: Memphis (+500)

BetQL Model Trend To Know: 55.2% on AAC bets all-time

Key Stat: 38.5% opponent field goal percentage (4th in Division-I)

Analysis: Houston (-250) is a heavy favorite to win the conference tournament and Wichita State (+600) and SMU (+600) have slightly worse odds than Memphis. While the Cougars have the nation’s best shooting defense (36.6%), Memphis isn’t too far behind in that regard. Keep an eye on 6’10 freshman Moussa Cisse, who has been steadily improving since the beginning of the season. Landers Nolley II, DeAndre Williams, D.J. Jeffries, Boggie Ellis and Lester Quinones all average over 9 points per game for coach Penny Hardaway. Due to the lack of quality at the bottom of this conference, betting on the Tigers makes a ton of sense if you aren’t high on Houston.

3. Big East Champions: UConn (+500)

BetQL Model Trend To Know: 65.1% on UConn bets (68.8% on spreads)

Key Stat: 5.4 blocks per game (7th in Division-I)

Analysis: Dan Hurley has implemented his hard-nosed style of play, as indicated by the stat above. NBA prospect James Bouknight is the best player in the Big East, this school has a history of magic in March and this team plays with a tenacity and intensity that Huskies fans have been waiting to see since Jim Calhoun left. UConn is getting hot at the right time and it’ll be interesting to see how Hurley utilizes the size and length of his deep frontcourt to defend the rim in the tournament. 

2. Big 12 Champions: West Virginia (+600)

BetQL Model Trend To Know: 85.7% on Kansas ML bets all-time

Key Stat: 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (1st in Big 12)

Analysis: Baylor (-175) is the clear favorite and Kansas (+500) also has better odds than the Mountaineers. However, West Virginia is the best bet at +600. Miles McBride, Derek Culver, Taz Sherman and Sean McNeil all average 12+ points and WVU narrowly lost to #1 Gonzaga (by 5), #4 Texas (by 2), #12 Oklahoma (by 1 in 2OT) and #3 Baylor (by 5 in OT). Their only other losses came to #3 Kansas (by 14), an unranked Oklahoma team at the time (by 4), and an unranked Florida team at the time (by 5). This team’s loaded with talent and built for the postseason.

1. Pac-12 Champions: Stanford (+2000)

BetQL Model Trend To Know: 56.6% on Pac-12 bets all-time

Key Stat: 54.3% on 2-point field goals (1st in Pac-12)

Analysis: Since the Pac-12 only has one team ranked in the Top 25 (#24 Colorado), they’re definitely the “wide open” conference to capitalize on. USC (+150) is the favorite while Colorado (+200) and Oregon (+350) also have decent odds. However, Stanford senior Oscar da Silva (18.8 PPG) is making a name for himself as an NBA prospect and the team converts their high-percentage baskets (as highlighted above). Keep an eye on 5-star freshman recruit Ziaire Williams to take a step forward as he makes a case for becoming a one-and-done lottery pick.