Kansas vs. Texas Odds, Pick: Bet On Jayhawks To Get Revenge
Will Bill Self keep up his incredible revenge record against the spread?
The Tuesday night college basketball betting slate is filled with high major matchups, including nine ranked teams in action.
Tuesday marks the return of Baylor, who is back from their three-week COVID-19 pause. Although, the marquee matchup is between two other Big 12 clubs, No. 17 Kansas at No. 14 Texas, which is where our bet of the day lies.
Where: Austin, Texas
When: 9 PM EST
Odds courtesy of Draftkings Sportsbook
No. 17 Kansas (+3, 139.5) at No. 14 Texas
Texas is trying to bounce back after blowing a 19-point lead to West Virginia at home this past weekend. It was a horrific second half for the Longhorns, which included 10 turnovers. The real story, though, was the verbal altercation between guards Courtney Ramey and Andrew Jones on the sidelines. The two had to be restrained by teammates by their bench.
Where is Texas’ head going to be at with a quick turnaround and a streaking Kansas team coming to Austin with revenge on their mind?
The Jayhawks have won five straight, including a wire-to-wire victory over Texas Tech on Saturday.
Back in January, UT beat KU 84-59, tying for the worst ever loss for the Jayhawks at Allen Fieldhouse. I expect Kansas had this game circled since the January 2nd loss.
Kansas coach Bill Self is money in this spot. He is 47-26-3 against the spread when facing a Big 12 team that Kansas lost to in the previous meeting.
On the court, there are some matchup edges trending in Kansas’ direction, namely, at the free throw line. Texas finds itself in foul trouble often, eighth highest opponent free throw rate in conference play. On Saturday, West Virginia made 37 trips to the free throw line.
In what should be another tight Big 12 matchup, free throws can prove paramount. Kansas shoots nearly 74% from the charity stripe in Big 12 play, while Texas shoots a league worst 66%.
While the Longhorns have size in the frontcourt with bigs such as Jericho Sims and Kai Jones to check KU big David McCormack, Kansas has the length on the wing to give the Texas backcourt some trouble. Ochai Agbaji, Jalen Wilson, and Marcus Garrett all show a size advantage against the Texas backcourt. Kansas can find easier paths into the lane on offense while also locking down the Horns along the perimeter on the defensive end.
I’m siding with the Jayhawks to keep up with their history of getting even with opponents under Bill Self.
Pick: Kansas +3, play to +2.5.
The BetQL Model has a four-star play on the FIRST HALF OVER 65.5 in this one. Make sure to check out more of our college basketball best bets HERE!
Reed is a native of New Jersey and graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison. He is a die-hard Brooklyn Nets fan and always believes the spread has a chance of covering. You can follow Reed on Twitter @ReedWallach for more commentary.