3 Dynamite NBA Trends To Know Before Betting On Wednesday's Slate
Before placing your bets, know these three trends
Pelicans at Kings, 10:35pm EST
NOP (-1.5), O/U 232.5
THE TREND: The OVER has hit in five of Sacramento’s last six home games.
WHY IT MATTERS: Zion Williamson has taken New Orleans’ offense to new heights. Oddsmakers have taken notice of this, as well as the fact that the Pelicans defense has also taken a hit with the rookie on the floor. In fact, just one of New Orleans’ games has closed with a total under 230 points over their last 13 games (and the OVER has still gone 8-5 in that span). Over those 13 games, the Pelicans have been playing at the NBA’s 2nd-quickest pace (105.39) while the Kings have played at the 12th-quickest pace (101.27). Keep in mind that this recent pace-up trend is a newfound trait of Sacramento’s campaign; they rank 22nd in that regard over the entire season and were one of the Association’s slowest-paced teams earlier in the year. Moving leading scorer Buddy Hield to the bench has allowed Coach Luke Walton to consistently push the ball up the floor with the threat of offense, something that was hit-or-miss when Hield was in the starting five. Expect an up-and-down game between some of the league’s top young players as Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball and Williamson square off against Hield, De’Aaron Fox and Bogdan Bogdanovic. Early sharp bets were all over one side of the spread in this contest.
Jazz at Thunder, 8:05pm EST
OKC (-2), O/U 217.5
THE TREND: OKC has gone 11-11 ATS as a home favorite (28-13 in all other situations).
WHY IT MATTERS: Despite their straight-up record, ATS bettors who have backed the Jazz have been let down all season long. Utah has covered just 47.5% of the time this year, compared to OKC’s NBA-best 61.9% mark. However, as noted above, the Thunder have interestingly thrived as ATS underdogs and have covered 50% of the time as home favorites. Numbers don’t exactly explain this fascinating trend, but the makeup of OKC’s roster might. Keep in mind that this team is made up of castaways. Chris Paul has bounced around and his greatness has not been respected in recent years, as indicated by the number of draft picks it took for OKC to take on his hefty contract. Dennis Schroder was shipped off by the Atlanta Hawks despite showing a lot of promise after they decided Trae Young was the future. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was dealt by the Los Angeles Clippers in the Paul George trade. Danilo Gallinari has also been shipped off here and there and has never truly settled down in one place. The four aforementioned players lead the team in scoring and their underdog mentality seems to have translated to their tendency to cover when oddsmakers doubt them. Tonight, they’re slight favorites at home, which is something to note before betting on this contest.
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Hornets at Heat, 7:35pm EST
MIA (-10), O/U 211.5
THE TREND: Charlotte has gone 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games.
WHY IT MATTERS: From a talent perspective, Charlotte might have the worst roster in the entire NBA. They’re sporting a -8.7 average road point differential (T-3rd worst), but have recently found some success ATS against talented squads. In fact, they haven’t lost ATS in their last seven contests, as stated above. While they’ve only gone 3-4 straight-up in that span, they’ve been victorious ATS at Toronto, and against Milwaukee, Denver and Houston at home. Pretty impressive, huh? That’s why this trend matters. The young frontcourt of Terry Rozier and Devonte’ Graham are coming off huge games against the Hawks last time out, but can they carry the success into one of the league’s most hostile environments? Keep in mind that Miami’s Jimmy Butler is questionable for this matchup. If he ultimately sits, that definitely improves Charlotte's odds to beat the spread as double-digit dogs.