3 Trends To Know Before Betting On Friday’s NBA Slate

All three of these betting trends are significant

Timberwolves at Magic, 7:05pm EST

ORL -7.5, O/U 234  VIEW LIVE ODDS

THE TREND: The Magic are 15-5 ATS against teams with a winning percentage of under .400 (at the time of their matchup). 

WHY IT MATTERS: When facing a team with a winning percentage of under .400, the Magic have scored an average 108.7 points per game and have given up on average 102.1 points per game. When facing a team with a winning percentage of over .400, the Magic have scored an average 102.4 points per game and have given up on average 108.1 points per game. Luckily for Orlando, the Timberwolves are one of the worst teams in the NBA and own a .298 winning percentage. Further, in their 15 covers against teams with a winning percentage of less than .400, the Magic won 11 of those games by a margin of seven points or more. Read more about why our model views Orlando as the best bet against the spread tonight!

Mavericks at Heat, 8:05pm EST

MIA -2.5, O/U 229.5  VIEW LIVE ODDS

THE TREND: Miami is 23-4 (17-9 ATS) at home this season.

WHY IT MATTERS: The Heat have some of the most concerning home/road splits in the NBA. They’re a disappointing 13-18 (11-19 ATS) when playing away from AmericanAirlines Arena, but tonight, they’ll take on Luka Doncic, Kristaps Porzingis and company on their home court. Miami has been phenomenal in South Beach this year, as the following numbers show. At home, Miami owns a +10.4 plus-minus (2nd among NBA home teams), 116.4 Offensive Rating (2nd) and 106.5 Defensive Rating (9th). Read more about how the Heat have dominated at home, why that might be the case, and, most importantly, unlock tonight’s best bets!

Thunder at Bucks, 8:05pm EST

MIL -10.5, O/U 229  VIEW LIVE ODDS

THE TREND: The Thunder are 21-6 ATS on the road.

WHY IT MATTERS: As dominant as the Bucks have been at home this season, the Thunder have been the best NBA team against the spread on the road. While their ridiculous cover rate isn’t sustainable, OKC has been a pest and hasn’t been involved in many blowouts. While MVP frontrunner Giannis Antetokounmpo is playing at an even more efficient level than he did last season and the Bucks are now favored to win the NBA title due in part to their unprecedented dominance of their opponents this year, Chris Paul, Steven Adams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Danilo Gallinari, Dennis Schroder and company have made life tough on their opposition. As double-digit underdogs, the Thunder should be on every bettor’s radar.