NBA Player Prop Targets For Every Game On Wednesday, Nov. 23

Top NBA Player Prop Values

The 2022-2023 NBA regular season is underway and BetQL is your source for best bets, sharp picks, live public data, player prop values, final score projections and so much more for Wednesday's games! Scroll down to take a look at player prop values you should take advantage of for every game on today's slate, coupled with exclusive sportsbook offers. Here are my updated NBA records for all picks made here on BetQL:

NBA (ATS & O/U): 97-64 (60.1%)

NBA Player Prop Totals: 37-18 (67.3%)

76ers PG De’Anthony Melton Over 16.5 Points vs. Hornets

Thrust into a prominent role with James Harden, Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey all injured, De’Anthony Melton has stepped up in back-to-back games, scoring 19 points on 7-of-16 shooting (5-of-9 from three) against the Timberwolves and then 22 points on 7-of-16 shooting (6-of-11 from three) in last night’s win over the Nets. The Hornets are a worse defensive team than both of those squads and based on his presumed role, I like Melton to get over this 16.5-point number for the third consecutive game.

Cavaliers PF Evan Mobley To Record Double-Double vs. Blazers

Over his last six games, Evan Mobley has averaged 15.0 points and 11.7 rebounds per contest with three double-doubles. He came one rebound short of that feat in his last outing and should benefit from the fact that Dean Wade and Caris LeVert are both out and Kevin Love is (most likely) going to sit tonight. You can get this anywhere from +180 to +220 right now across the industry and this is the most valuable double-double prop on today’s slate in my opinion.

Pacers PG Tyrese Haliburton Under 11.5 Assists vs. Timberwolves

Minnesota has allowed the opposing point guard position to rack up just 8.41 assists per game this season and while Tyrese Haliburton has been on an absolute tear, I’m going to target under 11.5 assists for him tonight. He does rank first in the NBA in assists at 10.7 per contest and is coming off back-to-back 14-assist performances against the Magic, but the Pacers shouldn’t see many easy looks around the rim in this one with both Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns lurking down low. Minnesota ranks in the top third of the league in points in the paint allowed and I simply don’t trust Indiana’s supporting cast enough to expect them to knock down mid-range and long-range shots with consistency.

Nets SF Royce O’Neale Over 1.5 Threes Made vs. Raptors

Royce O’Neale has averaged 2.5 made threes on 5.3 three-point attempts per game in the month of November and has made 7-of-9 long-range attempts over his last two games since Kyrie Irving returned from suspension. Irving and Kevin Durant attract so much attention from opposing defenses and Ben Simmons is still an elite facilitator, so I can easily see O’Neale taking advantage of the extra spacing and knocking down two-plus long-range shots tonight.

Mavericks PG Luka Doncic Triple-Double vs. Celtics

BetQL is projecting Luka Doncic to record 31 points, nine rebounds and 10 assists against the Celtics tonight, which is enough to make me fall in love with the potential of this hitting. The superstar went for 26 points, eight rebounds and eight assists the last time these teams squared off and that happened to be at the height of Boston’s epic defensive run last season. Simply put, nobody can defend this guy and he’ll have to perform across the board to guide his team to a win against Boston, the best team in the NBA so far this year.

Hawks C Clint Capela Over 0.5 Assists vs. Kings

Don’t go nuts with this one, but the Kings have allowed a whopping 5.29 assists per game to opposing centers this season (2nd-most in the NBA). Clint Capela is coming off a three-assist game against the Cavs last time out, had an assist against the Raptors before that and has recorded at least one in 10 of the last 15 games.

Wizards PF Kyle Kuzma Over 18.5 Points vs. Heat

Kyle Kuzma has led the Wizards in scoring in back-to-back games and has filled it up in the month of November. Averaging 20.4 points per game for the month, Kuzma has averaged 22.5 points per contest (that includes a nine-point dud) and has taken a crazy 19.2 field goal attempts per game. The last time he faced Miami (last Friday), he went just 9-of-24 shooting, including 2-of-12 from three for 21 points. If he’s slightly more efficient tonight, he should easily get over this number. Numerous teammates are also dealing with injuries, including Bradley Beal, so he could get even more usage.

Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 Points vs. Nuggets

This is the second half of a back-to-back for the Nuggets and now they have to face Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is averaging 31.1 points per game (4th in the NBA). He dropped 37 points on 13-of-17 shooting and went 11-for-11 from the free throw line in their first meeting earlier in the season and has gotten over this 29.5-point number in four of his last five games and nine of his last 12.

Bulls SG Zach LaVine Over 2.5 Made Threes vs. Bucks

When looking at made three-point props, I search for volume. Zach Lavine has that, as he averages 2.9 made threes on 8.4 attempts from beyond the arc this month. He’s gotten over this 2.5 number in four of his last six starts and he’s attempted a crazy 10.4 threes per game in that span. Coming off a 5-for-10 three-point outing last time out against the Celtics, he should come into this one with some confidence.

Pelicans PG CJ McCollum Over 5.5 Assists vs. Spurs

While New Orleans’ offense is balanced, CJ McCollum is the de-facto point guard and is in a great spot to produce as a facilitator. McCollum has gone over this 5.5-assist number in four of his last six games and now faces a Spurs team that has allowed 10.06 dimes per game to opposing point guards (2nd-worst in NBA). You can get plus-money on this player prop at most books right now.

Pistons Marvin Bagley III Over 12.5 Points vs. Jazz

The Jazz have allowed 25.83 points per game to opposing centers (worst in the NBA) and Marvin Bagley should enter this contest with some momentum after scoring 14 points in 22 minutes against the Nuggets last time out and 15 points in 21 minutes against the Kings in the game before that. He’s been taking high-percentage shots around the basket and should continue to produce in the scoring column when he’s on the floor against Kelly Olynyk, who he holds a significant athleticism advantage over.

Ivica Zubac Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds vs. Warriors

The Warriors have allowed 24.96 points and 16.53 rebounds per game to opposing centers this season and Zubac is coming off a 14-point, 14-rebound double-double against the Jazz last time out. Notably, Paul George missed that game (as he will tonight) and Kawhi Leonard was still limited. That’ll allow Zubac to get some extra looks offensively and he should be able to make an impact on the glass. His 14 rebounds were more than the four others in the starting lineup (eight) against Utah. I see him cruising over this points + rebounds mark tonight.

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