NBA Player Props: 3 Best Bets for Tuesday, May 4
3 player prop bets to make for today's 7-game slate
Today's NBA slate features 7-games, including a couple of fun TNT games. Luckily for us, there are plenty of options to choose from for our player prop bets. As for the marquee game of the day, I'll go with Nets-Bucks. Milwaukee is favored by 1.5-points and the total is set to 242. Buckle up for some action.
For today’s best NBA bets, player props are a fun way to wager on NBA games even if you don't like a side or total. I like to find matchups that I can exploit or good situations due to injuries.
Let’s dive into a couple of these scenarios now.
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Joe Harris OVER 12.5 points and OVER 2.5 threes made
We are getting better numbers here because of his dud against Milwaukee over the weekend. Harris is averaging 15.3 points per game over his last ten games and has scored 12.5 PPG against the Bucks over two games.
The Bucks got shredded by Kevin Durant, so look for them to play him differently today, which will open up the floor for Harris.
Playing the Bucks is a great matchup on paper for the shooter. Milwaukee ranks 29th in 3-pointers allowed and 24th in opponent's 3-point percentage.
Game script wise, this game has the highest total on the board so we will see a lot of points in this one. Look for Harris to get in on the fun.
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Dorian Finney-Smith UNDER 10.5 points
Love the way he has been playing this season, but this is a tough spot for him. Miami plays at a snails pace and their defense ranks 4th in points allowed and 7th in defensive rating. They are also great at defending the pick-and-roll.
This is purely a matchup play for me. The game has the lowest total on the board and will have the opposite feel of Nets-Bucks. Look for a grinder, low scoring battle, with points hard to come by for Finney-Smith.
* Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook
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BetQL Model Play of the Day
BetQL has a 5-star play tonight on the Raptors-Clippers game. The model is liking the Clippers in this spot and projects this line to be LAC -12.5. This is a 3-point difference from the current line, so there's value per the projections.
BetQL Model Trend of the Day
Mavericks at Heat, 8:10pm EST
- BetQL’s model has gone 46-35 (56.8%) on O/U bets in Jimmy Butler starts. If you bet $100 on all of them, you’d be up $681.82 right now.
You can check out all of BetQL's best NBA bets here.