2019-2020 NBA MVP Odds - UPDATED

A look at updated NBA MVP odds

Current Odds

The following odds can be found on DraftKings (updated February 1st, 2020)

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (-230)
  2. Luka Doncic (+450)
  3. James Harden (+700)
  4. LeBron James (+800)
  5. Anthony Davis (+2500)

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo's odds jumped from -125 to -230, as it's become increasingly clear that he's the overwhelming favorite to defend his MVP. Not only is he putting up insane numbers on both ends of the court, but he has also led the Bucks to the NBA's best record. Luka Doncic's ankle injuries have sidelined him for some games and his odds slightly dropped (from +425 to +450). Due to his nagging ailments, Anthony Davis (+1200 to +2500) saw a major drop-off. James Harden's odds dropped (+500 to +700) since he struggled for a large chunk of games in the end of January while Russell Westbrook carried his team and LeBron James (+700 to +800) also saw a slight change. Overall, this is Giannis' award to lose already. Betting on him now (while there's still value) makes a lot of sense.

Previous Odds

The following odds can be found on DraftKings (updated January 1st, 2020)

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (-125)
  2. Luka Doncic (+425)
  3. James Harden (+500)
  4. LeBron James (+700)
  5. Anthony Davis (+1200)

Analysis

As noted last month, Giannis Antetokounmpo is going to be very difficult to dethrone from this top spot. He has continued to build off of his 2018-2019 MVP season and has been the most dominant player in the NBA on the Eastern Conference's best team. His odds increased from +230 to -125 and he's the clear favorite. Luka Doncic has taken a massive leap forward and now has the second-best odds, overtaking James Harden, who moved to third despite leading the NBA in scoring by a gigantic margin. LeBron James and Anthony Davis round out the top five, but since they play on the same team, the top three are the clear frontrunners.

Current Odds

The following odds can be found on DraftKings (updated December 1st, 2019)

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (+230)
  2. James Harden (+350)
  3. Luka Doncic (+400)
  4. LeBron James (+650)
  5. Anthony Davis (+1200)

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo's position atop this list didn't change, but his odds slightly changed (from +225 to +230). The Greek Freak has continued to dominate both ends of the floor for the Milwaukee Bucks, who have the Eastern Conference's best record. If he continues to produce like this all season, he will be very difficult to dethrone. James Harden's odds remained the same and he's been the NBA's top scorer by a wide margin. After delivering some eye-popping numbers and averaging a triple-double in the month of November, Luka Doncic has rapidly ascended (moving from +900 to +400 and leapfrogging both LeBron James and Anthony Davis). James and Davis have led the Los Angeles Lakers to the top record in the Western Conference, but it's difficult to label Davis as more valuable than LeBron (and vice versa). Therefore, at this point in the season, it seems like Antetokounmpo, Harden and Doncic are in a three-man race. Doncic will be the one to watch moving forward because at this point, we know what we're going to get from all four other players. He's the wild card and if he continues to put up insane individual numbers while leading the Mavs to a respectable record in the tough West, he could end up emerging as the main challenger to Giannis.

Keith Allison, Flickr

Previous Odds

The following odds can be found on DraftKings (updated November 19th, 2019)

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (+225)
  2. James Harden (+350)
  3. LeBron James (+550)
  4. Anthony Davis (+750)
  5. Luka Doncic (+900)

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Analysis

Giannis Antetokounpo's position at the top of the odds didn't change from last week, while James Harden's odds increased from +450 to +350. Meanwhile, LeBron James saw a large jump from +800 to +550 to move into third place, leapfrogging teammate Anthony Davis, who saw his odds fall from +600 to +750. As predicted last week, Kawhi Leonard fell out of the top five while Luka Doncic (+900) emerged after a slew of dominant performances. It will be fascinating to see if Luka can continue to ascend due to the presence of Russell Westbrook (who could affect Harden) and the fact that LeBron and AD might cancel each other out. Giannis and Luka are the undisputed go-to playmakers for their respective teams and don't have any co-superstar to work with.

Previous Odds

The following odds can be found on DraftKings (updated November 13th, 2019)

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (+225)
  2. James Harden (+450)
  3. Anthony Davis (+600)
  4. Kawhi Leonard (+800)
  5. LeBron James (+800)

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Analysis

While Giannis Antetokounmpo is the clear frontrunner to defend his MVP award, James Harden got in the conversation last week when his odds increased from +750 last week to +450 after a few eye-popping performances. But those odds remained constant since then. You have to think that Russell Westbrook's presence somewhat limits Harden's upside when it comes to winning this award. Antetokounmpo, barring injury, should be considered the clear favorite moving forward, especially since LeBron James and Anthony Davis could also end up canceling each other out of the equation eventually as well. Since either Kawhi Leonard or the Clippers love to sit him out of games for "load management" purposes and since he plays on an extremely deep team, it's slightly surprising to see him listed in the top five. When Paul George returns soon, expect Leonard's name to fall off of this list.

Wikimedia Commons

Previous Odds

The following odds can be found on DraftKings (updated November 6th, 2019)

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (+205)
  2. James Harden (+450)
  3. Anthony Davis (+600)
  4. Kawhi Leonard (+800)
  5. LeBron James (+1000)

Honorable mentions: Nikola Jokic (+1200), Joel Embiid (+1600), Kyrie Irving (+2000), Luka Doncic (+1600), Karl-Anthony Towns (+2900)

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Analysis

Stephen Curry's hand injury essentially erased him from the equation since he will reportedly be out for multiple months after undergoing surgery. As a result, LeBron James entered the top five. While Giannis Antetokounmpo is the clear frontrunner to defend his MVP award, James Harden's odds increased from +750 last week to +450 this week after a few eye-popping performances. However, Russell Westbrook's presence somewhat limits Harden's upside when it comes to winning this award. Antetokounmpo, barring injury, should be considered the clear favorite moving forward, especially since LeBron James and Anthony Davis could also end up canceling each other out of the equation eventually as well.

Previous Odds

The following odds were found on DraftKings on October 31st, 2019.

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (+275)
  2. Stephen Curry (+600)
  3. Kawhi Leonard (+700)
  4. James Harden (+750)
  5. Anthony Davis (+800)

Honorable mentions: LeBron James (+1000), Nikola Jokic (+1100), Joel Embiid (+1400), Damian Lillard (+3300), Karl-Anthony Towns (+3300), Luka Doncic (+4000), Kyrie Irving (+4000), Russell Westbrook (+5000)

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo has a couple major factors working for him, which is why he’s the clear favorite to repeat as MVP at the moment. First, he’s the only true “star” on his team. That’s not the case for everyone else on this list except Stephen Curry (without Klay Thompson), Kawhi Leonard (at the moment before Paul George returns), Nikola Jokic and Karl-Anthony Towns. Secondly, he’s an all-around superstar who might be the most dominant two-way player in the Association. If the Greek Freak stays healthy and continues to grow and dominate at both ends of the floor, this award will likely be his to lose year after year. 

Kyrie Irving (+4000) and Trae Young (+7000) are two names to note, though. Irving has thrived, is off to an incredible start with the Brooklyn Nets and is in store for a high-usage role all season long, as is Young, who is off to an amazing start for the Atlanta Hawks. Both point guards will likely start to creep into the top 10 if they continue their scorching-hot play and both have legitimate MVP upside if they can lead their respective teams to the playoffs. 

At this point, though, Giannis’ production, upside and role on his team are unmatched by his competition.

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