NBA Upset Pick: Underdog Heat Look To Burn Nets

• The Brooklyn Nets (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) host the Miami Heat (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) and are 3.5-point favorites despite trying to find a rhythm early in a really complicated season.

• Nets star James Harden is getting to the free-throw line just three times a game so far this year, the lowest by far since his rookie year.

• Given the Nets' struggles, the Heat +140 moneyline is the best underdog play of Wednesday night in the NBA.

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Wednesday, Brooklyn Nets (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) host the Miami Heat (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) and are 3.5-point favorites despite trying to find a rhythm early in a really complicated season.

James Harden just hasn't been himself since the NBA took away one of his best weapons -- getting to the free throw line.

Harden is getting to the charity stripe just three times a game so far this year, the lowest by far since his rookie year. The NBA announced new points of emphasis for officials that were expected to reduce the use of "non-basketball" maneuvers to draw fouls during play, which is exactly what we've seen this year, and it's taken a major toll on Harden, who was one of the biggest offenders of drawing those ridiculous foul calls in seasons past.

Tough Matchup

Not sure if you've heard, but the Nets don't have Kyrie Irving playing for them. Oh, you have? OK, well, good.

The Nets in general haven't been able to get their Big Three on the court much since Harden was acquired last year, but at this point, with Irving's status up in the air for the foreseeable future, just finding chemistry between Harden and Kevin Durant is important enough.

Miami has enough defensively to switch between Durant and Harden, with Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo and P.J. Tucker all willing to take the tough assignments. Tyler Herro has also put up 70 points off the bench in the first three games, the most in franchise history over that stretch.

The Nets are still trying to find an identity, and as long as Miami can put up a better offensive output than it did against the Pacers with just 92 points, the Heat moneyline (+140) is the best underdog play of Wednesday night in the NBA.