NBA Best Bet: Strong Trend Makes Pacers Smart Underdog Play

Tonight's Monday Night Football game is a tough one to read, with crazy line movement and a home team not good under the lights. So if you decided to stay away from the Seattle-Washington game, luckily the NBA brings plenty of games to consider.

Tonight, the Pacers head to Minnesota in a game that you may not be overly excited to watch, but there's a strong trend you may want to take a look at, and it also may surprise you.

Pacers at Timberwolves

The Timberwolves (-3, -150) have actually won six of their last seven games, sitting at 10-10 (10-10 ATS), and are finally starting to at least show all that young talent might be coming together now.

The Pacers (9-13 SU, 11-11 ATS) are playing their second game of a back-to-back after losing to the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday, but this actually has been a situation where Indy thrives, going 4-2 ATS this year on the second half of a back-to-back. The Pacers have also posted a strong 5-2 record ATS as a road underdog, including already covering on the road on the second leg of a back-to-back.

To go a step further, the Pacers are 15-6 SU when playing on back-to-back days over the last two years. Now, I'm not a huge fan of looking back into previous seasons all that often given the changes in rosters, coaching staffs, etc., but it still gives you an idea of how well the Pacers have done in this specific situation before.

BetQL has the Pacers +3 as a ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ bet, and the model has hit on 55.7 percent of all spread bets involving the Timberwolves, so this is an underdog play worth considering tonight.