NBA Staff Picks For Tuesday, Dec. 28

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Dan Karpuc: Nuggets-Warriors U217.5

This game is filled with important trends, including the fact that the under has gone 22-10-1 (68.8%) in Warriors games this season, the highest rate in the NBA. Oddsmakers have clearly undervalued how dominant Golden State is defensively. The Warriors rank first in the NBA with a 101.8 Defensive Rating, per NBA.com, and sportsbooks have inflated totals in their games all season long. Give me the under in this spot, as both teams are most likely still going to be without key players due to COVID-19 protocols.

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Brad Pinkerton: Cavaliers-Pelicans U214.5

The Cavs, who are six-point favorites tonight at New Orleans, are just 12-21 O/U this season, including a disappointing 2-8 as the favorite. They had hit five straight unders before going over 207.5 in their last game. Meanwhile, the Pelicans also trend toward the under, going 15-19 on the season with a 10-17 mark as the underdog. BetQL is projecting 205 points tonight, making under 214.5 a ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ value bet.

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Lucy Burdge: 76ers-Raptors Under 215.5 

The 76ers are 12-19 on the O/U and have hit the under in three of their last five games. And with the 76ers averaging 105.73 points scored per game and the Raptors averaging 106.13 points scored per game, just hitting this total, I see this one going under the total on Tuesday night.

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Nick Ashooh: Bucks -12.5 at Magic

This number has been bet up to -14.5, but I still like Milwaukee. The Bucks have won three straight, while the Magic are 1-17 straight up in games decided by 10 points or more. They’re also just a bad team, barely averaging over 100 points a game over their last 10. The Magic are 3-10 ATS at home, and go against a Bucks team at full strength while Orlando has a paragraph-long list of players out. Plus, the last time they played, Milwaukee won by 31.

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