Using BetQL’s Schedule & Result tool, I see that the Pistons have gone 4-4 SU over their last eight games, but have gone 7-1 ATS in that span. Meanwhile, the Magic have gone 1-5 ATS in their last six contests and have gone 2-15 SU over their last 17 games dating back to the end of December. This month, the Magic rank dead-last in Offensive Rating, per NBA.com. To make matters more troubling for Orlando, they’ve gone just 3-18 SU and 5-16 ATS at home this season, which is mind-boggling and horrendous. Even though Detroit has been awful on the road, going 4-20 SU, they’ve gone 12-12 ATS, which is crucial to know in this situation. While I suggest never making a habit of backing Detroit, Cade Cunningham is coming off his best individual performance of the season and the trends point in their direction in this particular matchup.
The Jazz are 13-9 ATS on the road this season and 2-1 ATS as the road underdog. Some trends favoring the Jazz here are Quin Snyder is 42-23 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 while coaching Utah, 67-45 ATS revenging a home loss against an opponent while coaching Utah, 166-135 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or less while coaching Utah and 209-179 ATS after allowing 105 points or less while coaching Utah. Plus, the Jazz are averaging 113.78 points scored per game to the Grizzlies’ 111.76 points scored per game, so I see the Jazz covering this spread tonight.
There was a point back in late 2021 when the Rockets felt like a near guarantee to cover on a nightly basis. We may not be in that same position now, but Houston has still covered in four of its last six games, and Portland continues to lose more and more important pieces to their roster. With Dame Lillard already out, Nassir Little is now reportedly out for the year, ending his breakout season. The Blazers are also just 2-5 ATS as a road favorite, and 7-14 ATS away from home overall.
No real glaring trends here, this number just feels too high. In fact, it would be the second-highest total Chicago (23-22-2 O/U) has seen all season. The Spurs have played with totals in the 230s more often, but note that they are 1-5 O/U in their last six home games. Plus, BetQL is leaning toward the under as well, projecting 229, which is worth highlighting because the model has gone 29-17-4 (63%) on all O/U bets in the past seven days.
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