Padres' World Series Odds On The Move After Big Trades

Oddsmakers react to San Diego's additions

Getty Images

Over the past 48 hours, the San Diego Padres have gone all-in for the upcoming season and the betting market has reacted. On consecutive days, the Padres agreed to deals for starting pitchers Blake Snell and Yu Darvish.

After the moves, San Diego is now down to +900 from +1300 at DraftKings to win it all in the 2021 season. This puts the Padres behind only the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League. They also bypassed the Atlanta Braves, who currently sit at +1000.

As for odds to win the NL, San Diego now sits at +425, a small boost from +500, before the trades were made.

Get all of BetQL's best bets for the upcoming MLB season! Dating back a full calendar year, our five-star (max-value) bets have won 61% of the time!

The jump in odds is understandable, because on paper, a front of the rotation featuring Snell, Darvish, and young phenom Dinelson Lamet is going to cause havoc for opposing hitters. The Padres also have one of the best offenses in baseball, as they finished in the top-5 of multiple offensive categories last season including HRs, RBIs and OPS. The middle of their lineup led by Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado is second to none when it comes to power.

On the flip side of the deal, the Chicago Cubs, who look like they are going into a rebuild mode of sorts, dropped from +2500 to +3300.

The Tampa Rays, coming off a World Series berth, saw their odds lengthen from +1100 to +1500 after moving Snell. The New York Yankees are the favorites in the American League at +550, whereas the Rays now sit behind the Chicago White Sox (+1300) in the AL.

Play DFS? Be sure to get a 3-day free trial on RotoQL to check out our projections!

When it comes to the details of the trades, the Padres are sending a package built around prospects to the Rays, including catcher Francisco Mejia and pitcher Luis Patino. For Darvish, according to multiple reports, San Diego is expected to send four prospects and starting pitcher Zach Davies to the Cubs.

One big note, none of the prospects the Padres are shipping over to the Cubs are considered to be top-10. This deal goes to show just how good the Padres farm system is, but, more importantly, their current assets left might allow them to make another move down the line.

One fun fact about the deals, as pointed out by Sarah Langs: The Padres are the 1st team to acquire two pitchers in a single offseason who both either won or finished in top-2 in Cy Young voting in any of the prior three seasons.

While we are still some ways away from the season, it sure is looking like the NL will go through either the Dodgers or Padres.

Get Today's Picks