The Atlanta Braves (-125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+105) on Saturday with first pitch scheduled for 2:07 p.m. ET. The Braves are betting favorites with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125) and the Over/Under at 9 total runs. So far this season, the Braves are 102-63 ATS, while the Phillies are 86-81 ATS.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 84-81 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -2.87% ROI).
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 86-81 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.44% ROI).
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Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 63 of 728 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 45% (648/1,442) against Charlie Morton this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (63/190) against Charlie Morton with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (639/1,461) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 30 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 25 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 75% (12/16) against Noah Syndergaard this month (1 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 36-5 (.878) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Braves are 49-12 (.803) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Braves are 59-12 (.831) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are 72-5 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Phillies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 14-57 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Phillies are 73-25 (.745) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .442 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Braves hitters are slugging .518 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Braves hitters are slugging .443 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Braves hitters have missed on 28% of swings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .266 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,764 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Phillies hitters are slugging .536 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Phillies hitters have 22 extra-base hits out of 37 total hits (59%) against RHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (122.4 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.3).
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 186 of 2,874 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,972 batted balls) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
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