MLB Play of the Day for Wednesday, May 5: Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners

How to bet this afternoon matchup in the Pacific Northwest

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Two pleasant surprises in Major League Baseball have been the Baltimore Orioles and Seattle Mariners. The two finish a three game series on Wednesday afternoon with two promising pitchers on the bump. 

Who has the edge?

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Baltimore Orioles (+105, 7.5) vs. Seattle Mariners - 3:40 PM EST

The BetQL Model has a ⭐⭐⭐⭐ play on the Orioles in the rubber match as the team hands the ball to John Means. 

The 28-year-old has been fantastic in 2021, compiling a 1.70 ERA over his first six starts. He does a great job of limiting unforced errors, walking a little more than two batters per nine innings. Means will have a favorable matchup against a Seattle offense that struggles to get on base against lefty pitching, 22nd in the league. 

Means has been stellar this season, and expect him to keep it up against a poor Seattle hitting team.

While Baltimore is 27th in the league in OPS, the team does much better hitting lefties, 14th in the bigs in that metric, setting up for a big day at the dish against Yusei Kikuchi. While the southpaw is coming off of a seven inning shutout against the Astros, there could be some regression in order against the Orioles lineup that thrives against left handing pitching and a pitcher that has a 4.64 FIP. 

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Seattle has been better than expected this season, 17-14, but the team is a poor hitting team and will be trusting an inconsistent Kikuchi to give a strong outing on Wednesday. While the Orioles aren’t world beaters by any means, their offense is better suited to handle this matchup and take this three game set. 

As indicated by the low total of 7.5, this should be a defensive struggle, but the BetQL Model is trusting Means to keep a lid on the Seattle offense.

The BetQL Model believes that Means and Baltimore should be favored on the road, making this a strong day baseball bet. 

Pick: Baltimore Orioles +105

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