MLB Play of the Day for Monday, May 10: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies

How to bet the NL West showdown

Untitled Image

It’s a small baseball card on Monday, only six games, but there is still betting value on the board. We are going to look to Colorado for the BetQL Model Play of the Day, focusing on the the total between the Padres and Rockies.

You can get ALL of our best bets on every MLB game each day here!

Get all of BetQL's best bets for the MLB season! Dating back a full calendar year, our five-star (max-value) bets have won 61% of the time!

Untitled Image

San Diego Padres (-180, 10) vs. Colorado Rockies - 8:40 PM EST

The BetQL Model is projecting a high scoring meeting between the two NL West foes, making a ⭐⭐⭐⭐ play on the over 10 runs. 

The Padres are starting Dinelson Lamet on Monday. Lamet hit the IL early in the season with a forearm injury but returned last week, pitching a predetermined two innings. While we can expect to see him pitch more in Colorado, don’t count on the righty to go long into this one as San Diego looks to avoid a setback. 

Lamet was stellar last year, finishing fourth in NL Cy Young voting, but it’s too soon to expect a shutdown outing after his injury, considering there will likely be a strict pitch count for him. 

BETMGM PROMO: Bet $20 on the Padres to win, and win $100! SIGN UP BELOW

Untitled Image

On the other side, the Rockies will turn to Antonio Senzatela, who has struggled in 2021. He has an ERA near 6 in more than 29 innings this season. On top of his poor metrics this season, the Padres have had it out for him over his career, hitting .327 against him and have a near .400 on-base percentage. 

With the game being played at hitter friendly Coors Field, the San Diego lineup should be able to put up a big number against Senzatela. 

However, look for the Rockies to have scoring opportunities with Lamet expected to be on a short leash and the Pads to work through their bullpen.

Pick: Over 10

Untitled Image