MLB Pick Of The Day: Red Sox vs. Astros ALCS Game 3
Odds and best bets for ALCS Game 3 between the Red Sox and Astros
Lucy Burdge - Oct 18, 2021, 2:59pm EDT
Red Sox vs. Astros ALCS Game 3 Preview
Game Time: 10/18 8:07 p.m. EST at Fenway Park in Boston
Moneyline: Red Sox (-120), Astros (-105)
Spread: Red Sox (-1.5), Astros (+1.5)
Total: Over/Under 9
The Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros will face off for Game 3 of the ALCS on Monday at 8:07 p.m. EST at Fenway Park in Boston.
The Red Sox (-120) are the slight home favorites over the Astros (-105) with the over/under on this game set at 9 runs.
Eduardo Rodriguez will be on the mound for the Red Sox, while Jose Urquidy gets the start for the Astros.
Houston Astros Preview
The Astros are 2-3 ATS in their last five games and 4-1 on the O/U. As the away team in their last five games, they are 0-5 straight up and ATS, and 2-3 on the O/U.
The Astros are averaging 5.38 runs per game and 4.1 opponent runs per game.
A notable injury for Houston is pitcher Lance McCullers Jr. has already been ruled out for the ALCS with a forearm injury.
Boston Red Sox Preview
In their past five games, the Red Sox are 4-1 SU and ATS, and 5-0 on the O/U. As the favorite in their last five games, Boston is 4-1 ATS and 3-2 on the O/U.
The Red Sox are averaging 5.17 runs per game and 4.62 opponent runs per game.
On the moneyline, the Red Sox are 66-43 when pitching in night games this season. The team is also 62-39 vs. right-handed starters this season and 62-40 vs. poor baserunning teams, who are averaging 0.5 or less stolen bases per game this season.
On the spread, the Red Sox have a pro money advantage by 28 percent. According to the BetQL sharp bettor report, the Red Sox spread is getting 67 percent of the tickets and also 95 percent of the money.
Astros vs. Red Sox Best Bet
The BetQL Model sees 3-star value on the Astros moneyline -105.
On the moneyline, the Astros are 20-7 against AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs per game on the season this year. And Dusty Baker is 22-7 vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 runs or more runs per game on the season while managing Houston.
The Model also has star values on other bets in this game, Monday Night Football and every NHL contest. Join BetQL today to check out the value on those picks before the first pitch on Monday night!
The BetQL Model is 18-10-4 (64.3%) on moneyline bets on Jose Urquidy starts. Join BetQL to see all of today's best bets!
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