MLB Playbook: Betting Lines, Odds & Picks for Wednesday, June 29

Today's MLB betting odds, trends and picks you need to know

MLB Betting Playbook for Wednesday

As usual, Wednesday’s MLB schedule offers a good mix of day games and night games, as some series are ending while others are just hitting their stride. That means there should be something for everyone. To help you find value on Wednesday’s MLB schedule, let’s check out some of the best options from the BetQL model, as well as important betting trends everyone should know about before the games get underway.

The BetQL MLB model had quite a Tuesday, going 22-10 (69%) on all picks rated ⭐⭐⭐ and higher for a total return of $1,138 on $100 bets. BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Sign up for a BetQL Day Pass and see our best bets across all sports!


Dodgers -195 at Rockies ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

While it’s been surprising to see the Rockies win the first two games of their series against the Dodgers, it doesn’t seem likely that Colorado will be able to pull off the sweep. Granted, the Dodgers have had some rough series this year and even got swept by the Pirates. But they are still the better team. Plus, while oddsmakers list them at -195, the BetQL model has their moneyline at -340 with a 77% chance of winning, making this a five-star pick.

Julio Urias is well-positioned to be the stopper the Dodgers need right now. Somehow, he’s only 5-6 in his first 14 starts of the season. But he has a 2.48 ERA on the season and has pitched to a 1.54 ERA during his four starts in June. Meanwhile, German Marquez has a 5.58 ERA over his 14 starts in 2022. He’s been even worse at home, posting a 6.70 ERA in eight starts at Coors Field. That should allow the Dodgers to break out the bats and slug their way to a much-needed win.



Manny Machado to hit a HR at D-backs (+350 at FanDuel)

There are several reasons to love Machado today. First, he's facing Madison Bumgarner in hitter-friendly Arizona. Machado already has three career homers off Bumgarner, who has allowed 11 homers in his last 11 starts, including five in his last four home starts. Plus, Machado is slashing .292/.373/.615 with six homers and a .323 ISO against lefties this season, so this is a great spot for Manny to mash. -- Brad Pinkerton



The Brew Crew is going for a quick two-game sweep of the Rays in a battle of left-handed starters. The good news for the Rays is they’ve won their last six games against NL Central teams when coming off a loss. They are also 10-8 against left-handed starters this year while Milwaukee is 12-13 against southpaws.

The Yankees are going for the sweep of Oakland on Wednesday, although they’ve had a little bit of trouble with the pesky A’s over the past two days. After a one-run win on Tuesday, the Yankees are 3-7 ATS over their last 10 games. Also, the A’s are surprisingly decent 26-14 (.650) ATS as road underdogs.

The Nationals have taken the first two games of this series, giving them a chance to complete the sweep while also handing the Pirates their sixth straight loss. It’s also worth noting that these teams have scored just nine total runs in the first two games. That makes sense because the Nats are 18-22 O/U at home and Pittsburgh is 14-19-4 O/U on the road.

Houston has a chance to complete a season sweep of the Mets after winning two home games last week and dominating in a 9-1 win on Tuesday. In those three games, the Astros have outscored the Mets 22-6. However, the Mets still have the best record in baseball when coming off a loss at 21-6 (.778).

The Rangers are going for the sweep on Wednesday and will head into their final game in June with seven wins in their last 11 games, so this is their chance to finish strong. It’s been overlooked that the Texas bullpen ranks among the top 10 in baseball with a 3.43 ERA. Meanwhile, the Royals are 5-20 (.200) this year against teams with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better.

Despite sweeping the D’Backs last week, the Padres dropped the first game of a two-game set in Arizona on Tuesday. The D’Backs head into Wednesday’s game 15-10 ATS as home underdogs. However, they’ve also lost six of the last eight games Madison Bumgarner has started.

The Giants earned a one-run win on Tuesday and now have a chance to sweep a two-game set from Detroit. With Tuesday’s loss, the Tigers have now lost their last seven road games against teams with a winning record. However, they are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.

A 2-0 Seattle win on Tuesday sets up a rubber match between these teams on Wednesday. The Mariners won a rubber match in Baltimore earlier this month. However, the Orioles are still 12-2 ATS over their last 14 games, adding to their MLB-best record ATS of 48-28.

The Braves won 5-3 on Tuesday, taking the first game of this critical NL East series. That loss dropped the Phillies to a disappointing 12-17 inside the division with seven of those 12 wins coming against either the Marlins or Nationals.

After a somewhat uneven stretch during the latter part of June, the Blue Jays are going for a sweep of Boston on Wednesday. With their two losses this week, the Red Sox are now just 7-16 against their AL East rivals this year. The task gets harder because Toronto is 6-1 in Alek Manoah’s last seven starts. 

These two teams split a doubleheader on Tuesday, meaning they’ve split their six head-to-head games over the past 10 days, helping the Twins keep a three-game lead over Cleveland in the AL Central. But despite getting one win on Tuesday, the Guardians have lost six of their last seven while also going just 2-5 ATS in those games. The Twins, meanwhile, are 5-2 SU in their last seven games.

The Marlins need a win on Wednesday to avoid getting swept, adding to their woes with four losses in their last five games and a 1-5 ATS record in their last six games. The good news is that Cy Young contender Sandy Alcantara is on the mound and Miami is 7-2 in his last nine starts.

The Reds took the series opener on Tuesday, dropping the Cubs to 13-26 at home this year. On the other side, Cincinnati is just 3-11 when rookie Hunter Greene starts. The Reds are also just 7-14 this season against left-handed starters, potentially giving the Cubs an edge with Justin Steele on the mound.

The Rockies have a chance to pull off a sweep of the Dodgers after taking the first two games of the series at Coors Field. On the surface, it’s been a little surprising. However, the Rockies have actually won seven straight games against their NL West rivals when they’ve been underdogs. At 12-12, they have the second best record in the majors for home underdogs among teams that have been home underdogs at least 10 times this year.

The White Sox won on Tuesday to force a rubber match on Wednesday. However, they’ve lost 10 in a row as road underdogs against AL West teams when coming off a win. They are also just 8-12 SU as road underdogs this season. Plus, while the Angels have had a disastrous month of June, they’ve won the last three games that Shohei Ohtani has started on the mound while Chicago has lost four of the five games Michael Kopech has started in June.


BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Sign up for a BetQL Day Pass and see our best bets across all sports!