MLB Playbook: Betting Lines, Odds & Picks for Monday, June 27

MLB Betting Playbook for Monday

As usual, Monday brings a somewhat abbreviated MLB schedule with just nine games on tap. Of course, that’s not necessarily a bad thing, it just means you have to look a little harder to find value. Fortunately, we’re here to share some of the best bets from the BetQL model and key betting trends for all nine games on Monday’s MLB schedule.

BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Sign up for a BetQL Day Pass and see our best bets across all sports!

MLB BEST BET

Dodgers -195 at Rockies ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

After taking two of three games against the Braves over the weekend, the Dodgers are 5-1 during their current road trip, so they are a great team to bet on at the moment. Oddsmakers have them at -195, but the BetQL model lists Los Angeles at -313 with a nearly 76% chance of winning on Monday. The BetQL model is also projecting a two-run win, which means it’s also safe to take their moneyline, giving the Dodgers even more value in Monday’s game.

Granted, the Dodgers have a quick turnaround after playing late on Sunday and then traveling to Colorado without an off day. The Rockies are also a respectable 19-19 at home this year, going 10-12 SU as a home underdog. But the Colorado offense is ice-cold right now, scoring just 10 total runs in the team’s last five games. That lineup now has to face Tyler Anderson, a longtime Colorado pitcher who won’t be fazed by pitching at Coors Field. The kicker is that the Dodgers have won Anderson’s last seven starts, so all signs point to a Los Angeles win on Monday.

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TOP PLAYER PROPS

Cody Bellinger To Hit A HR at Rockies

Since this game is being played in the thin air of Coors Field, I like everyone in the Dodgers lineup and will likely get some exposure to all of them in some way. Bellinger has slashed .301/.398/.552 in 40 games at Coors in his career. -- Dan Karpuc

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TODAY'S MLB GAMES & BETTING TRENDS

Despite being buried in the NL East basement, the Nationals are 4-2 SU in their last six games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games. The catch is that Washington is a pitiful 12-26 (.316) SU at home this year. However, they are 5-3 SU when they are a home favorite, which has been a rare occasion.

After splitting a four-game series with the Astros over the weekend, the Yankees will try to get back to beating up on bad teams. Paul Blackburn has been huge for the A’s this year, as he’s been the winning pitcher in six of Oakland’s 25 wins. But he’s also coming off a rough outing while the A’s have now lost four of his last five starts.

This is a big series for both teams, who are still holding out hope of catching up to the Yankees in the AL East. It’s worth noting that the Red Sox have actually moved into second place in the division after winning seven in a row and going 19-4 in June thus far. Of course, the Red Sox are bringing up rookie Connor Seabold for his second career start on Monday. They are also just 7-14 SU inside the AL East this year.

Not long ago, the Guardians were red-hot, winning 11 of 13 games. However, they got swept by Boston over the weekend, giving them four straight losses, a stretch that began when they lost to the Twins last week. As a result, the Twins have regained first place in the AL Central with a two-game cushion over Cleveland. However, the Twins have been an unreliable road favorite this year, going 10-11 SU. They are also just 20-20 coming off a win this year and lost seven of their last eight games following a win.

The Cards have been one of the better favorites in the majors this year, going 26-14 (.650) SU when favored. Under Oliver Marmol, they are 15-4 SU when the moneyline is between -100 and -150. While the Cards lost on Sunday and have dropped three of their last four games, they have won their last seven games against the Marlins when coming off a loss.

The Royals may have hit rock bottom over the weekend, losing two of three games at home against the lowly A’s. They also have to face Texas ace Martin Perez, who has helped the Rangers go 9-1 in his last 10 starts.

Tyler Anderson continues to be a huge key to success for the Dodgers and a good-luck charm. Los Angeles has won the last seven games that he’s started. Plus, the Dodgers are 5-1 on their current road trip, averaging 6.3 runs per game whereas the Rockies are coming home on Monday after going 1-5 on their recent road trip, averaging just three runs per game in those six games.

The Angels continue to have a nightmarish month of June, going 2-4 SU in their last six games and 1-5 ATS during that stretch. While they are favored on Monday, the Halos are just 16-16 SU and 12-20 ATS when they are favored at home.

These two teams begin this series with identical records. The difference is that the Orioles are an MLB-best 47-27 ATS whereas the Mariners are 37-37 ATS. As a home favorite this year, the Mariners are just 6-13 ATS while Baltimore is 21-17 ATS as a road underdog.

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BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Sign up for a BetQL Day Pass and see our best bets across all sports!