MLB Playbook: Betting Lines, Odds & Picks for Saturday, May 14
Today's MLB betting odds, trends and picks you need to know
Matthew Horner - May 13, 2022, 8:18pm EDTMLB Betting Playbook for Saturday
Saturday is a huge day in MLB, with a massive 16-game schedule for us to sort out here and give some great information on. As always with our betting playbook, we'll have all the latest trends and best bets that you'll want to know before placing a wager on one of these games.
One trend you should definitely know is that the BetQL model is 63-31 (67%) on all MLB picks rated ⭐⭐ and higher in the past three days for a total return of $2,063 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Sign up for a BetQL Day Pass and see our best bets across all sports!
Odds in this article are subject to change. Check the latest MLB betting lines here: Latest MLB Odds | Latest Over/Under | Expert MLB picks
MLB BEST BET
Tigers -120 vs. Orioles ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Okay, I'll say it. The BetQL model really hates the Baltimore Orioles, which is warranted in some ways, but we have them as one of the lowest-rated teams in all of baseball. Which, again, is warranted. However, I just never would feel comfortable laying a price with the absolutely atrocious Detroit Tigers either. But look, who am I to argue with the model when it has been so wildly profitable as of late. A $2,000+ return on investment in just three days of $100 bets is just insane, so it probably is smart to lay it with Detroit if the model says so.
We get two pitchers here who are really average this season so far, with Baltimore throwing out Bruce Zimmermann and Detroit rolling with Michael Pineda. Zimmermann has played surprisingly well thus far, after being downright disgusting last year with a 5.04 ERA. He has a 2.67 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 30.1 innings of work. That's actually pretty darn good. Pineda has a higher ERA sitting at 3.43, but that number can be deceiving. He has a WHIP of just 1.14, which is good. He hasn't logged as many innings as Zimmermann, but his play has been better than his ERA suggests.
TOP PLAYER PROP
Yankees Big Bats vs. Dallas Keuchel
Yes, that's correct, I am telling you to pick your poison with any of the Yankees big-time players in this matchup. Home Runs, 2+ bags, doubles, whatever. We are talking about Dallas Keuchel, who has been horrendous this season. He's 2-3 with a massive 6.86 ERA and an unthinkable 2.10 WHIP. He shouldn't still be starting games at this point of his career, but he will be thrust out there against some of the best hitters in baseball. Let's say a little prayer for my White Sox.
All three of the top Yankee bats (Aaron Judge, Anthony Rizzo, Giancarlo Stanton) have a wOBA of at least .401, a wRC+ of at least 173, and an ISO of at least .289. That'll do it. It makes me sad just thinking about how they might obliterate a former Cy Young winner before our very eyes. Stanton has been red-hot lately, with multiple home runs against the White Sox this past Thursday in the series opener. Judge is a play almost any night of the week against anyone, so I should hardly have to explain why he's a good pick to go with here. Rizzo is slumping a bit right now, but he's still viable due to how awful Keuchel has been.
I don't think you go wrong with any of these guys. All of them equally have a good chance at a huge game.
TODAY'S MLB GAMES & BETTING TRENDS
Gabe Kapler is 74 - 52 SU in road games while coaching San Francisco
Brian Snitker is 70 - 47 SU revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less while coaching Atlanta
Joe Maddon is 54 - 73 SU vs. division opponents while coaching Los Angeles
A.J Hinch is 34 - 34 SU vs. a starting pitcher who strikes out 5 or more batters per start while coaching Detroit
Charlie Montoyo is 25 - 41 SU in May games while coaching Toronto
Miami Marlins are 2 - 9 SU in May games this season
Cincinnati Reds are 2 - 12 ATS vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game while on the road this season
Dave Martinez is 44 - 60 SU when playing on Saturday while coaching Washington
Boston Red Sox are 7 - 17 SU vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season
Starting pitcher Chris Bassitt is 15 - 1 SU when playing against a team with a losing record over the last two years
Rocco Baldelli is 31 - 18 SU vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better while coaching Minnesota
Aaron Boone is 62 - 27 SU in May games while coaching New York
David Ross is 58 - 101 SU vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game while coaching Chicago
Bud Black is 62 - 41 SU vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start while coaching Colorado
Joe Maddon is 53 - 74 ATS vs. division opponents while coaching Los Angeles
Joe Girardi is 13 - 29 SU vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start while coaching Philadelphia
MORE: SEE ALL OF BETQL’S BEST MLB BETS!
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Sign up for a BetQL Day Pass and see our best bets across all sports!
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