St. Louis Cardinals vs

Washington Nationals Prediction

The Washington Nationals are 3-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 6-4 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals' starter Max Scherzer is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals' starter Carlos Martinez. Max Scherzer has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Carlos Martinez has a 28% chance of a QS. If Max Scherzer has a quality start the Nationals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.6 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 64%. In Carlos Martinez quality starts the Cardinals win 59%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.82 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 53% chance of winning.