San Francisco Giants vsWashington Nationals Prediction
The Washington Nationals are 12-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 20-14 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals' starter Max Scherzer is forecasted to have a better game than Giants' starter Anthony DeSclafani. Max Scherzer has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Anthony DeSclafani has a 38% chance of a QS. If Max Scherzer has a quality start the Nationals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9.6 and he has a 59% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 64%. In Anthony DeSclafani quality starts the Giants win 53%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Eric Thames who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Buster Posey who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 55% chance of winning.