San Diego Padres vsWashington Nationals Prediction
The San Diego Padres are 30-26 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 17-39 at home. The Padres have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres' starter Mike Clevinger is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals' starter Cory Abott. Mike Clevinger has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cory Abott has a 20% chance of a QS. If Mike Clevinger has a quality start the Padres has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 76%. In Cory Abott quality starts the Nationals win 54%. He has a 4% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Luke Voit who averaged 1.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 44% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Juan Soto who averaged 2.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 79% chance of winning.