New York Mets vsWashington Nationals Prediction
The Washington Nationals are 10-16 at home this season and the New York Mets are 12-14 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals' starter Patrick Corbin is forecasted to have a better game than Mets' starter David Peterson. Patrick Corbin has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while David Peterson has a 29% chance of a QS. If Patrick Corbin has a quality start the Nationals has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 52%. In David Peterson quality starts the Mets win 75%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 75% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 3.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 60% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Michael Conforto who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 64% chance of winning.