Miami Marlins vs

Washington Nationals Prediction

The Washington Nationals are 32-40 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 23-48 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals' starter Erick Fedde is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins' starter Jesus Luzardo. Erick Fedde has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jesus Luzardo has a 29% chance of a QS. If Erick Fedde has a quality start the Nationals has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 71%. In Jesus Luzardo quality starts the Marlins win 47%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 47% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jesus Aguilar who averaged 2.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 50% chance of winning.