Miami Marlins vs

Washington Nationals Prediction

The Washington Nationals are 14-26 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 15-24 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals' starter Patrick Corbin is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins' starter Braxton Garrett. Patrick Corbin has a 33% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Braxton Garrett has a 24% chance of a QS. If Patrick Corbin has a quality start the Nationals has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 61%. In Braxton Garrett quality starts the Marlins win 72%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Josh Bell who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Garrett Cooper who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 55% chance of winning.