Los Angeles Dodgers vs

Washington Nationals Prediction

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 13-8 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 5-16 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers' starter Walker Buehler is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals' starter Josiah Gray. Walker Buehler has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Josiah Gray has a 40% chance of a QS. If Walker Buehler has a quality start the Dodgers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 64%. In Josiah Gray quality starts the Nationals win 67%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Josh Bell who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 51% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 69% chance of winning.