Colorado Rockies vsWashington Nationals Prediction
The Washington Nationals are 33-43 at home this season and the Colorado Rockies are 25-50 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals' starter Paolo Espino is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies' starter Jon Gray. Paolo Espino has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jon Gray has a 36% chance of a QS. If Paolo Espino has a quality start the Nationals has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.7 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 57%. In Jon Gray quality starts the Rockies win 57%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is C.J. Cron who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 61% chance of winning.